Garuda Lions
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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 9

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti

2 – 2 Full time

3′Dan N'Lundulu
14′Ofri Arad
24′Meriton Korenica
26′Karlo Muhar
41′Juri Cisotti
45′Karlo MuharEddy Gnahoré
45′Ofri AradJoao Paulo Fernandes
46′Ricardo padurariu
66′Breston Malula
67′Sergiu HancaMario Ioniță
71′David MiculescuDenis Drăguş
73′Dan N'Lundulu
80′Meriton KorenicaAymen Boutoutaou
83′Alejandro BranTiberiu Căpuşă
84′Teixeira leoCəlal Hüseynov
84′Rodrigo MartinsKilian Ludewig
89′Paul Arnold GaritaAlexandru Stoian
90′Dan N'LunduluDele Ola

National Arena, BucharestReferee: Iulian Calin, Romania

FCSB 61%
Draw 22%
Petrolul Ploiesti 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 4
57 Possession % 43
10 Corners 4
7 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 8
399 Accurate passes 275

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFCSBDrawPetrolul Ploiesti
Model44.4%26.2%29.4%
Market66.3%20.4%13.3%
Final60.8%21.9%17.3%
Edge-22.0%+5.8%+16.2%

Confidence: Low

Why FCSB

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.32.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FCSB ↓ / Petrolul Ploie → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

FCSB and Petrolul Ploiesti expected goals

FCSB 1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.99

FCSB and Petrolul Ploiesti attack and defence ratings

FCSB

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Petrolul Ploiesti

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti: result vs prediction

FCSB 2 – 2 Petrolul Ploiesti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FCSB 60.8% 1.64 -22.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.6% 1.65 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.7% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.5% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FCSB60.8%
Draw21.9%
Petrolul Ploiesti17.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.4%
Under 2.542.6%
Both teams to scoreYes60.6%
No39.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.7%
12 (either side)78.1%
X2 (draw or away)39.2%
Handicap -1FCSB win23.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss55.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.2%
2-19.2%
1-27.3%

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti stats

FCSB and Petrolul Ploiesti recent form

newest first
FCSB LLLWDD
Petrolul Ploiesti WWLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FCSB and Petrolul Ploiesti going into this match

league record before kick-off

FCSB record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Petrolul Ploiesti record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

5FCSB wins 4Draws 0Petrolul Ploiesti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-24FCSBPetrolul PloiestiLiga I3-1
2025-11-22FCSBPetrolul PloiestiLiga I1-1
2025-07-19Petrolul PloiestiFCSBLiga I0-1
2025-02-06Petrolul PloiestiFCSBLiga I0-0
2024-09-21FCSBPetrolul PloiestiLiga I1-1
2024-03-03FCSBPetrolul PloiestiLiga I1-0
2023-10-28Petrolul PloiestiFCSBLiga I2-2
2023-03-02FCSBPetrolul PloiestiLiga I4-1
2022-10-09Petrolul PloiestiFCSBLiga I0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.2%, draw 20.6%, away 13.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.38 4.60 7.60
888Sport 1.50 4.00 5.75
Bet365 1.40 4.20 6.25
BetVictor 1.36 4.50 7.00
Betano 1.40 4.60 6.70
Dafabet 1.50 4.20 5.80
Marathonbet 1.37 4.60 7.60
Pinnacle 1.41 4.85 7.36
SBO 1.42 3.71 5.13
Unibet 1.41 4.75 7.00
William Hill 1.40 4.40 7.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.40 ▼ -0.07
X 4.55 ▲ +0.40
2 7.00 ▲ +0.80

22 snapshots recorded, from .