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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 8

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara

2 – 0 Full time

4′Breston Malula
9′Paul Papp
15′Mihajlo Ivančević
22′mark tutu
29′Emmanuel Yeboah
31′Rodrigo Martins
43′Ion Cararus
48′Sergiu Hanca
54′Robert Dumitru JerdeaCəlal Hüseynov
54′Sergiu HancaAdam Zaian
57′Ricardo André Pinho de Sousa
67′mark tutu
69′Renato EspinozaÁngel Nahuel Gillard
69′Emmanuel YeboahHayatu Muhammed Hayatu
69′Ion CararusGideon Uche Goodlad
73′Adam Zaian
76′Rodrigo MartinsKilian Ludewig
77′Flavius iacob
82′Alejandro BranLuciano Gaston Vega Albornoz
82′Sérgio RibeiroRonaldo Deaconu
82′Teixeira leoTiberiu Căpuşă
82′Andrej FabryEmmanuel Onoriode Okoro
85′Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz

Stadionul Ilie Oană, PloiestiReferee: Horatiu Fesnic, Romania

Petrolul Ploiesti 32%
Draw 30%
Corvinul Hunedoara 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
30 Possession % 70
1 Corners 8
8 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
7 Saves 1
122 Accurate passes 370

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPetrolul PloiestiDrawCorvinul Hunedoara
Model24.8%31.9%43.3%
Market34.4%29.7%35.9%
Final32.0%30.2%37.7%
Edge-9.6%+2.2%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Corvinul Hunedoara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.87.
  • The market prices Corvinul Hunedoara below the model: +7.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Petrolul Ploie ↓ / Corvinul Huned → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 14% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Petrolul Ploiesti and Corvinul Hunedoara expected goals

Petrolul Ploiesti 0.87
Corvinul Hunedoara 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.10

Petrolul Ploiesti and Corvinul Hunedoara attack and defence ratings

Petrolul Ploiesti

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Corvinul Hunedoara

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara: result vs prediction

Petrolul Ploiesti 2 – 0 Corvinul Hunedoara

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Corvinul Hunedoara 37.7% 2.65 +7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.0% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score No 57.6% 1.74 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.8% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Petrolul Ploiesti32.0%
Draw30.2%
Corvinul Hunedoara37.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.0%
Under 2.565.0%
Both teams to scoreYes42.4%
No57.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.3%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)68.0%
Handicap -1Corvinul Hunedoara win19.9%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-113.8%
0-013.6%

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara stats

Petrolul Ploiesti and Corvinul Hunedoara recent form

newest first
Petrolul Ploiesti WLWWLL
Corvinul Hunedoara DDWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Petrolul Ploiesti and Corvinul Hunedoara going into this match

league record before kick-off

Petrolul Ploiesti record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Corvinul Hunedoara record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 29.6%, away 35.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.58 3.15 2.58
1xBet 2.68 3.12 2.59
Bet365 2.62 2.90 2.55
BetVictor 2.63 3.10 2.50
Betano 2.70 3.15 2.55
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.63
Dafabet 2.70 3.15 2.60
Marathonbet 2.68 3.12 2.59
Pinnacle 2.73 3.29 2.65
SBO 2.39 2.91 2.44
Superbet 2.85 3.10 2.72
Unibet 2.65 3.10 2.55
William Hill 2.70 3.00 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.68 ▲ +0.18
X 3.11 ▲ +0.06
2 2.57 ▼ -0.25

22 snapshots recorded, from .