Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 8

Oţelul vs Rapid

0 – 1 Full time

18′Patrick Fernandes
46′M. KamaraV. Bubanja
58′R. OneaC. Manea
58′C. VulturarC. B. Doumbia
72′A. CiobanuJoao Paulino
72′M. FrunzaD. Bordun
78′Patrick Fernandes
78′Patrick Fernandes
79′E. AnnanW. L. Ouedraogo
80′Pedro Nuno
80′C. GrameniJ. Kodor
81′N. PedroZe Turbo
88′T. LunguM. Zhelev
90′A. Pascanu

Stadionul Oțelul, GalatiReferee: Marian Barbu, Romania

Oţelul 32%
Draw 29%
Rapid 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
1 Corners 8
9 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
5 Saves 5
327 Accurate passes 342

Oţelul vs Rapid overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Oţelul vs Rapid

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOţelulDrawRapid
Model45.8%31.0%23.1%
Market27.0%28.2%44.8%
Final31.7%28.9%39.4%
Edge+18.8%+2.8%-21.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Rapid

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Oţelul ↓ / Rapid → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Oţelul and Rapid expected goals

Oţelul 1.31
Rapid 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.16

Oţelul and Rapid attack and defence ratings

Oţelul

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Rapid

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Oţelul vs Rapid: result vs prediction

Oţelul 0 – 1 Rapid

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Oţelul vs Rapid markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rapid 39.4% 2.54 -21.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.9% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Oţelul31.7%
Draw28.9%
Rapid39.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.7%
Under 2.563.3%
Both teams to scoreYes43.2%
No56.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.6%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)68.3%
Handicap -1Rapid win8.0%
Push (exactly one goal)15.2%
Loss76.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-013.7%
0-012.8%

Oţelul vs Rapid stats

Oţelul and Rapid recent form

newest first
Oţelul DWDLDD
Rapid DWLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Oţelul and Rapid going into this match

league record before kick-off

Oţelul record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Rapid record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Oţelul vs Rapid head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Oţelul wins 4Draws 1Rapid wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-13RapidOţelulLiga I0-2
2025-08-11OţelulRapidLiga I1-1
2025-02-08OţelulRapidLiga I1-1
2024-09-28RapidOţelulLiga I0-0
2024-02-03RapidOţelulLiga I2-1
2023-09-17OţelulRapidLiga I0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Oţelul vs Rapid odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.3%, draw 28.4%, away 41.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.74 3.15 2.46
1xBet 3.45 3.28 2.09
Bet365 3.20 3.20 2.00
BetVictor 3.30 3.30 2.00
Betano 2.82 3.15 2.47
Betfair 2.88 3.30 2.40
Dafabet 2.85 3.15 2.43
Marathonbet 3.44 3.28 2.07
Pinnacle 3.59 3.38 2.11
SBO 2.68 2.92 2.20
Superbet 3.00 3.25 2.52
Unibet 2.95 3.20 2.28
William Hill 3.40 3.10 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.42 ▼ -0.04
X 3.28 ▲ +0.03
2 2.06 ▼ -0.06

25 snapshots recorded, from .