Liga I
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Dinamo Bucuresti
vs
FCSB
2 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | João Paulo | ||
| 31′ | Andrei Mărginean | ||
| 31′ | André Duarte | ||
| 36′ | M. Pascual | ||
| 46′ | M. KorenicaO. Arad | ||
| 46′ | A. BoutoutaouA. Stoian | ||
| 50′ | Cătălin Cîrjan | ||
| 54′ | I. MargineanM. Verreth | ||
| 54′ | A. MusiD. Pinto | ||
| 60′ | M. KaramokoD. Zandbergen | ||
| 61′ | V. CretuL. Stancu | ||
| 78′ | M. Pascual | ||
| 79′ | A. GaritaE. Gnahore | ||
| 82′ | Diogo Pinto | ||
| 84′ | Alaa Bellaarouch | ||
| 84′ | D. Miculescu | ||
| 86′ | Ștefan Târnovanu | ||
| 88′ | D. ArmstrongA. Pop | ||
| 89′ | D. IrimiaS. Opris | ||
| 90′ | Cătălin Cîrjan | ||
| 90′ | Cătălin Cîrjan | ||
| 90′ | Ricardo Pădurariu |
Dinamo Bucuresti
47%
Draw
26%
FCSB
27%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 12 |
| 396 | Accurate passes | 199 |
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB
| Probability | Dinamo Bucuresti | Draw | FCSB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.9% | 19.5% | 11.6% |
| Market | 39.7% | 28.4% | 31.9% |
| Final | 47.0% | 26.2% | 26.8% |
| Edge | +29.2% | -9.0% | -20.3% |
Why Dinamo Bucuresti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.31 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Dinamo Bucuresti below the model: +29.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Dinamo Bucuresti and FCSB expected goals
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.31
FCSB
0.86
Total expected goals: 3.17
Dinamo Bucuresti and FCSB attack and defence ratings
Dinamo Bucuresti
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
0.76 -24%
FCSB
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB: result vs prediction
Dinamo Bucuresti 2 – 1 FCSB
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 47.0% | 2.13 | +29.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Bucuresti win | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 47.0% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| FCSB | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.9% |
| No | 47.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Bucuresti win | 46.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 30.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.2% |
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB stats
Dinamo Bucuresti and FCSB recent form
| Dinamo Bucuresti |
DWWWDW |
| FCSB |
LLWDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dinamo Bucuresti and FCSB going into this match
Dinamo Bucuresti record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
FCSB record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Dinamo Bucuresti wins
1Draws
8FCSB wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Dinamo Bucuresti | FCSB | Liga I | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | FCSB | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Dinamo Bucuresti | FCSB | Liga I | 4-3 |
| 2025-05-05 | FCSB | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Dinamo Bucuresti | FCSB | Liga I | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-23 | FCSB | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-30 | Dinamo Bucuresti | FCSB | Cupa României | 0-4 |
| 2024-10-20 | Dinamo Bucuresti | FCSB | Liga I | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-26 | Dinamo Bucuresti | FCSB | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-22 | FCSB | Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.7%, draw 28.4%, away 31.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.25 | 2.91 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.25 | 2.89 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41 | 3.34 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 |