Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 7

FCSB vs Uta Arad

1 – 3 Full time

26′Marius Coman
45′Paul Arnold GaritaAlexandru Stoian
45′Aymen BoutoutaouEddy Gnahoré
49′Alexandru Stoian
54′Hakim Abdallah
63′Denis Alberto TaroiMarinos Tzionis
64′Joyskim Dawa TchakonteLuca Gabriel Stancu
64′Ofri AradDennis Politic
66′Andrei Dorobantu
69′Jayson PapeauIsmet Sinani
78′Marius Coman
79′Marius ComanAndrea Padula
81′David MiculescuDavid Popa
90′Peter Ouaneh

National Arena, BucharestReferee: Szabolcs Kovacs, Romania

FCSB 58%
Draw 24%
Uta Arad 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
62 Possession % 38
5 Corners 4
8 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0
2 Saves 5
405 Accurate passes 204

FCSB vs Uta Arad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FCSB vs Uta Arad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFCSBDrawUta Arad
Model49.3%29.0%21.7%
Market60.9%22.4%16.7%
Final58.0%24.1%18.0%
Edge-11.6%+6.6%+5.0%

Confidence: Low

Why FCSB

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.90.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FCSB ↓ / Uta Arad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

FCSB and Uta Arad expected goals

FCSB 1.45
Uta Arad 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.35

FCSB and Uta Arad attack and defence ratings

FCSB

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Uta Arad

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FCSB vs Uta Arad: result vs prediction

FCSB 1 – 3 Uta Arad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

FCSB vs Uta Arad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FCSB 58.0% 1.72 -11.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.0% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.1% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FCSB58.0%
Draw24.1%
Uta Arad18.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.8%
Under 2.558.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.6%
No53.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.0%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)42.0%
Handicap -1FCSB win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss51.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-012.7%
0-010.7%

FCSB vs Uta Arad stats

FCSB and Uta Arad recent form

newest first
FCSB LWDDLW
Uta Arad DLDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FCSB and Uta Arad going into this match

league record before kick-off

FCSB record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Uta Arad record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 63% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FCSB vs Uta Arad head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

3FCSB wins 0Draws 0Uta Arad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-20FCSBUta AradLiga I1-0
2026-03-01Uta AradFCSBLiga I2-4
2025-10-26FCSBUta AradLiga I4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FCSB vs Uta Arad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 22.4%, away 16.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.52 4.00 5.60
1xBet 1.51 4.25 5.69
BetVictor 1.50 4.00 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.05 5.30
Betfair 1.53 4.20 5.00
Dafabet 1.54 4.10 5.40
Marathonbet 1.50 4.25 5.65
Pinnacle 1.49 4.44 5.71
SBO 1.46 3.67 4.81
Unibet 1.53 4.25 5.80
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.51 ▼ -0.16
X 4.10 ▲ +0.24
2 5.50 ▲ +0.75

11 snapshots recorded, from .