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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 7

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

0 – 1 Full time

Stadionul Orasenesc, MioveniReferee: George Catalin Roman, Romania

Arges Pitesti 39%
Draw 34%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityArges PitestiDrawSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Model29.2%43.5%27.3%
Market42.8%31.2%25.9%
Final39.4%34.3%26.3%
Edge-13.7%+12.3%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Arges Pitesti

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Arges Pitesti ↓ / Sepsi OSK Sfan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 30% 17% 1 17% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 70%
2+ goals 36%
3+ goals 13%
No goals 30%

Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected goals

Arges Pitesti 0.63
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.23

Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe attack and defence ratings

Arges Pitesti

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: result vs prediction

Arges Pitesti 0 – 1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Arges Pitesti 39.4% 2.54 -13.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 87.3% 1.15 — —
Both teams to score No 77.8% 1.29 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.7% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.0% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Arges Pitesti39.4%
Draw34.3%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.512.7%
Under 2.587.3%
Both teams to scoreYes22.2%
No77.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)65.7%
X2 (draw or away)60.6%
Handicap -1Arges Pitesti win8.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss71.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-030.3%
1-017.3%
0-116.4%

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe stats

Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe recent form

newest first
Arges Pitesti LDWWWL
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe DDDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Arges Pitesti record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Arges Pitesti wins 2Draws 3Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-11-05Arges PitestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I0-5
2022-07-24Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheArges PitestiLiga I4-0
2021-12-15Arges PitestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-1
2021-08-15Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheArges PitestiLiga I0-2
2021-02-16Arges PitestiSepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I1-1
2020-10-03Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheArges PitestiLiga I1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 31.2%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.14 2.95 3.55
1xBet 2.13 3.05 3.62
Bet365 2.10 2.88 3.40
BetVictor 2.15 2.90 3.50
Betano 2.18 2.90 3.60
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.50
Dafabet 2.17 2.90 3.60
Marathonbet 2.11 3.05 3.60
Pinnacle 2.19 2.95 3.76
SBO 2.11 2.69 3.07
Superbet 2.25 3.00 3.75
Unibet 2.14 3.00 3.50
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.06
X 2.95 ▼ -0.29
2 3.55 ▲ +0.08

12 snapshots recorded, from .