Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
vs
Farul Constanta
1 – 1 Full time
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta
| Probability | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | Draw | Farul Constanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.8% | 31.7% | 20.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.8% | 31.7% | 20.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.74.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta attack and defence ratings
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Farul Constanta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta: result vs prediction
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1 – 1 Farul Constanta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 47.8% |
| Draw | 31.7% | |
| Farul Constanta | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta stats
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta recent form
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe |
DDDWLD |
| Farul Constanta |
DWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe and Farul Constanta going into this match
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Farul Constanta record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Farul Constanta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 29.9%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.74 |
| 1xBet | 2.47 | 3.12 | 2.88 |
| 888Sport | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.12 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 3.12 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.26 | 2.89 | 2.62 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 3.20 | 2.95 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .