Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 7

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

2 – 3 Full time

Cluj Arena, Cluj-NapocaReferee: Radu Marian Petrescu, Romania

Universitatea Cluj 54%
Draw 27%
Petrolul Ploiesti 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversitatea ClujDrawPetrolul Ploiesti
Model53.4%27.7%18.9%
Market53.6%26.3%20.0%
Final53.6%26.7%19.8%
Edge-0.2%+1.3%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Universitatea Cluj

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.84.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universitatea ↓ / Petrolul Ploie → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti expected goals

Universitatea Cluj 1.57
Petrolul Ploiesti 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.41

Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti attack and defence ratings

Universitatea Cluj

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Petrolul Ploiesti

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti: result vs prediction

Universitatea Cluj 2 – 3 Petrolul Ploiesti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitatea Cluj 53.6% 1.87 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.6% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.2% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universitatea Cluj53.6%
Draw26.7%
Petrolul Ploiesti19.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.4%
Under 2.556.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)46.4%
Handicap -1Universitatea Cluj win28.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.5%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-012.9%
2-011.1%

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti stats

Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitatea Cluj and Petrolul Ploiesti going into this match

league record before kick-off

Universitatea Cluj record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Petrolul Ploiesti record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Universitatea Cluj wins 4Draws 3Petrolul Ploiesti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-14Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-1
2025-08-09Universitatea ClujPetrolul PloiestiLiga I1-1
2024-12-14Universitatea ClujPetrolul PloiestiLiga I4-1
2024-08-12Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-0
2024-04-13Universitatea ClujPetrolul PloiestiLiga I1-2
2023-11-11Universitatea ClujPetrolul PloiestiLiga I0-0
2023-07-16Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-1
2023-04-16Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-2
2022-12-02Petrolul PloiestiUniversitatea ClujLiga I2-0
2022-08-05Universitatea ClujPetrolul PloiestiLiga I0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 26.3%, away 20.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.67 3.50 4.90
1xBet 1.72 3.62 4.62
Bet365 1.70 3.20 4.50
BetVictor 1.67 3.50 4.60
Betano 1.78 3.45 4.45
Betfair 1.73 3.60 4.75
Dafabet 1.76 3.50 4.60
Marathonbet 1.70 3.62 4.65
Pinnacle 1.71 3.45 5.12
SBO 1.69 3.11 3.94
Superbet 1.80 3.65 4.75
Unibet 1.73 3.50 4.50
William Hill 1.75 3.40 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.72 ▲ +0.02
X 3.50 ▼ -0.22
2 4.60 ▲ +0.20

11 snapshots recorded, from .