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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 9

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul

3 – 0 Full time

31′Ovidiu Bic
48′Milen Zhelev
58′Dorin Codrea
60′Ze TurboJoão Paulino
60′Matei FrunzăDenis Bordun
62′Mouhamadou DrammehPedro Pinho
62′Issouf MacalouMarius Stefanescu
64′Andrei Ciobanu
65′Pedro Pinho
73′Jovo LukićAlibek Aliev
74′Dan NistorAndrei Gheorghiță
74′Andrei Ciobanu
77′Teodor lungu
79′Milen ZhelevDominick Zator
79′Pedro NunoRafael Brito
80′Oucasse Mendy
84′Dino MikanovićElio Capradossi
90′Alibek Aliev

Cluj Arena, Cluj-NapocaReferee: Szabolcs Kovacs, Romania

Universitatea Cluj 48%
Draw 25%
Oţelul 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
58 Possession % 42
3 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
2 Saves 0
476 Accurate passes 319

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversitatea ClujDrawOţelul
Model30.1%27.3%42.6%
Market54.2%24.9%20.9%
Final48.2%25.5%26.3%
Edge-24.1%+2.4%+21.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Universitatea Cluj

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universitatea ↓ / Oţelul → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Universitatea Cluj and Oţelul expected goals

Universitatea Cluj 1.27
Oţelul 1.55

Total expected goals: 2.81

Universitatea Cluj and Oţelul attack and defence ratings

Universitatea Cluj

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Oţelul

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul: result vs prediction

Universitatea Cluj 3 – 0 Oţelul

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitatea Cluj 48.2% 2.08 -24.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.4% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.9% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universitatea Cluj48.2%
Draw25.5%
Oţelul26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.4%
Under 2.546.6%
Both teams to scoreYes57.7%
No42.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.8%
Handicap -1Universitatea Cluj win13.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss69.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
1-29.1%
0-18.1%

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul stats

Universitatea Cluj and Oţelul recent form

newest first
Universitatea Cluj LLLWWL
Oţelul LDWDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitatea Cluj and Oţelul going into this match

league record before kick-off

Universitatea Cluj record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.

Oţelul record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Universitatea Cluj wins 1Draws 3Oţelul wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27Universitatea ClujOţelulLiga I4-0
2026-02-11Universitatea ClujOţelulCupa României2-0
2025-10-25OţelulUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-2
2025-02-21OţelulUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-1
2024-10-18Universitatea ClujOţelulLiga I2-0
2024-05-19OţelulUniversitatea ClujLiga I0-2
2024-04-21OţelulUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-0
2024-04-18OţelulUniversitatea ClujCupa României2-1
2023-12-17Universitatea ClujOţelulLiga I0-1
2023-08-12OţelulUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.5%, draw 25.4%, away 21.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.79 3.55 4.00
1xBet 1.71 3.76 4.48
888Sport 1.75 3.50 4.20
Bet365 1.65 3.60 4.33
BetVictor 1.67 3.60 4.40
Betano 1.72 3.65 4.50
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.33
Dafabet 1.79 3.55 4.20
Marathonbet 1.69 3.76 4.50
Pinnacle 1.70 4.01 4.70
SBO 1.71 3.17 3.74
Unibet 1.87 3.45 3.80
William Hill 1.70 3.70 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.12
X 3.70 ▲ +0.40
2 4.40 ▼ -0.05

21 snapshots recorded, from .