Liga I · 2026-09-13T12:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani

1 – 1 Full time

19′			Gabriel CharpentierSilviu Balaure
41′			Narcis Ilas
55′			Brian Bayeye
57′			Roland IdowuGabriel Gama
60′			Taylor Luvambo
68′			Narcis Ilas
73′			Andrei DumiterMykola Kovtalyuk
73′			Hervin OngendaJovan Marković
73′			Zoran MitrovŞtefan Bodişteanu
76′			Dorinel·Oancea
83′			Jovan Marković
84′			Dorinel·OanceaClaudiu Micovschi
84′			Yanis PirvuMario Tudose
86′			Gabriel Gama

Stadionul Orasenesc, MioveniReferee: Florin Andrei, Romania

Arges Pitesti

36%

Draw

31%

FC Botosani

33%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

8	Shots	5
1	Shots on target	3
34	Possession %	66
2	Corners	2
10	Fouls	7
3	Offsides	0
2	Saves	0
202	Accurate passes	481

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Arges Pitesti	Draw	FC Botosani
Model	27.0%	35.8%	37.2%
Market	38.4%	29.9%	31.7%
Final	35.5%	31.4%	33.1%
Edge	-11.4%	+5.9%	+5.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

81%

2+ goals

54%

3+ goals

26%

No goals

19%

Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani expected goals

Arges Pitesti

0.79

FC Botosani

0.97

Total expected goals: 1.76

Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani attack and defence ratings

Arges Pitesti

Attack

0.55 -45%

Defence

0.78 -22%

FC Botosani

Attack

1.18 +18%

Defence

0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani: result vs prediction

Arges Pitesti 1 – 1 FC Botosani

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga I

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Csikszereda v Dinamo Bucuresti — match page · 2026-09-11
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 2026-09-12
Rapid vs FC Voluntari — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova · 2026-09-13
Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul · 2026-09-14
FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti — team news & stats · 2026-09-14

Before and after this match

Arges Pitesti, previous: FC Voluntari v Arges Pitesti analysis
Arges Pitesti, next: Rapid – Arges Pitesti, 2026-09-18
FC Botosani, previous: FC Botosani vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: odds and pick
FC Botosani, next: CFR 1907 Cluj – FC Botosani, 2026-09-19

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Arges Pitesti	35.5%	2.82	-11.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	74.2%	1.35	—	—
Both teams to score	No	64.9%	1.54	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	68.6%	1.46	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	73.0%	1.37	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Arges Pitesti	35.5%
	Draw	31.4%
	FC Botosani	33.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	25.8%
	Under 2.5	74.2%
Both teams to score	Yes	35.1%
	No	64.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.9%
	12 (either side)	68.6%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.5%
Handicap -1	Arges Pitesti win	8.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.1%
	Loss	73.0%
Correct score (top 3)	0-0	18.6%
	0-1	15.5%
	1-1	14.5%

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani stats

Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani recent form

newest first

Arges Pitesti	LLLDWW
FC Botosani	WDWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Arges Pitesti and FC Botosani going into this match

league record before kick-off

Arges Pitesti record

They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
They average 0.8 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Botosani record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Arges Pitesti wins 3Draws 5FC Botosani wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-12-13	Arges Pitesti	FC Botosani	Liga I	0-0
2025-08-11	FC Botosani	Arges Pitesti	Liga I	3-1
2024-12-04	Arges Pitesti	FC Botosani	Cupa României	0-3
2023-04-09	FC Botosani	Arges Pitesti	Liga I	1-0
2023-01-29	Arges Pitesti	FC Botosani	Liga I	0-2
2022-09-01	FC Botosani	Arges Pitesti	Liga I	0-0
2022-03-07	FC Botosani	Arges Pitesti	Liga I	1-2
2021-11-05	Arges Pitesti	FC Botosani	Liga I	0-1
2021-09-22	Arges Pitesti	FC Botosani	Cupa României	0-0
2021-01-14	FC Botosani	Arges Pitesti	Liga I	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Arges Pitesti vs FC Botosani odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 29.8%, away 31.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.44	3.08	2.95
Bet365	2.35	3.00	2.88
BetVictor	2.38	3.10	2.80
Betano	2.40	3.15	2.92
Betfair	2.30	3.25	2.90
Dafabet	2.27	3.10	3.15
Marathonbet	2.42	3.08	2.93
Pinnacle	2.53	3.13	3.01
SBO	2.14	2.91	2.77
William Hill	2.40	3.00	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 ▲ +0.27

X 3.08 ▼ -0.12

2 2.90 ▼ -0.48

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T16:10:02Z.