Liga I · 2026-09-11T15:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad

4 – 2 Full time

3′			Matteo Ahlinvi
20′			Eduard Radaslavescu
21′			Andrea Padula
37′			Marius Coman
44′			Denis Alibec
45′			Jayson PapeauAntoni Ivanov
45′			Denis Alberto TaroiMarinos Tzionis
45′			Alexandru GoncearVictor Dican
57′			Eduard Radaslavescu
62′			Sota Minoomar sawy el
62′			Alin RomanSamuel Gueulette
68′			Tony NjikeNicolas Popescu
72′			Samuel Gueulette
72′			Gustavo MarinsIonuț Larie
73′			Eduard RadaslavescuRăzvan Marincean
73′			Cristian GaneaValentin Constantin Ticu
77′			Hakim AbdallahIsmet Sinani
87′			omar sawy el

Complex Sportiv Academia Gheorghe Hagi, ConstantaReferee: Horia Gabriel Mladinovici, Romania

Farul Constanta

39%

Draw

30%

Uta Arad

32%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

14	Shots	17
10	Shots on target	4
49	Possession %	51
1	Corners	5
6	Fouls	6
3	Offsides	2
2	Saves	6
362	Accurate passes	348

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Farul Constanta	Draw	Uta Arad
Model	35.8%	30.9%	33.3%
Market	39.5%	29.1%	31.4%
Final	38.6%	29.6%	31.9%
Edge	-3.8%	+1.8%	+2.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

89%

2+ goals

69%

3+ goals

41%

No goals

11%

Farul Constanta and Uta Arad expected goals

Farul Constanta

1.18

Uta Arad

1.13

Total expected goals: 2.31

Farul Constanta and Uta Arad attack and defence ratings

Farul Constanta

Attack

0.94 -6%

Defence

0.91 -9%

Uta Arad

Attack

1.19 +19%

Defence

0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad: result vs prediction

Farul Constanta 4 – 2 Uta Arad

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Liga I

Csikszereda v Dinamo Bucuresti — match page · 2026-09-11
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs CFR 1907 Cluj · 2026-09-12
Rapid vs FC Voluntari — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
Arges Pitesti v FC Botosani — match page · 2026-09-13
Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova · 2026-09-13
Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul · 2026-09-14
FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti — team news & stats · 2026-09-14

Before and after this match

Farul Constanta, previous: CFR 1907 Cluj – Farul Constanta, 2026-09-04
Farul Constanta, next: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul Constanta prediction
Uta Arad, previous: Uta Arad vs Csikszereda prediction
Uta Arad, next: Uta Arad vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: odds and pick

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Farul Constanta	38.6%	2.59	-3.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	59.3%	1.69	—	—
Both teams to score	No	51.7%	1.93	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.4%	1.42	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	64.2%	1.56	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Farul Constanta	38.6%
	Draw	29.6%
	Uta Arad	31.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	40.7%
	Under 2.5	59.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	48.3%
	No	51.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	68.1%
	12 (either side)	70.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.4%
Handicap -1	Farul Constanta win	15.6%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.1%
	Loss	64.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.6%
	0-0	11.2%
	1-0	10.4%

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad stats

Farul Constanta and Uta Arad recent form

newest first

Farul Constanta	DDDDWD
Uta Arad	WWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Farul Constanta and Uta Arad going into this match

league record before kick-off

Farul Constanta record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Uta Arad record

They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
63% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Farul Constanta wins 6Draws 2Uta Arad wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-26	Uta Arad	Farul Constanta	Liga I	0-0
2025-12-15	Farul Constanta	Uta Arad	Liga I	1-1
2025-08-09	Uta Arad	Farul Constanta	Liga I	2-1
2025-05-10	Farul Constanta	Uta Arad	Liga I	1-2
2025-01-20	Farul Constanta	Uta Arad	Liga I	1-1
2024-12-18	Uta Arad	Farul Constanta	Cupa României	1-5
2024-08-26	Uta Arad	Farul Constanta	Liga I	1-1
2023-12-16	Uta Arad	Farul Constanta	Liga I	0-0
2023-10-26	Farul Constanta	Uta Arad	Liga I	2-2
2023-02-24	Uta Arad	Farul Constanta	Liga I	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Farul Constanta vs Uta Arad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 29.2%, away 30.6%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.25	3.20	3.05
1xBet	2.32	3.32	2.94
888Sport	2.25	3.10	3.00
Bet365	2.30	3.10	2.80
BetVictor	2.30	3.13	2.88
Betano	2.35	3.10	3.05
Betfair	2.25	3.30	3.10
Dafabet	2.32	3.20	3.05
Marathonbet	2.30	3.32	2.92
Pinnacle	2.46	3.14	3.10
SBO	2.06	2.98	2.84
Superbet	2.37	3.30	3.15
Unibet	2.23	3.35	3.15
William Hill	2.38	3.00	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.31 ▲ +0.19

X 3.13 ▼ -0.19

2 2.91 ▼ -0.38

15 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-04T08:10:01Z.