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Liga I · Full time ·Matchday 10

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB

5 – 0 Full time

29′Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi
42′Denis DrăguşAymen Boutoutaou
45′Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi
45′Ronny·LabonneValentin Crețu
45′Ofri AradJoao Paulo Fernandes
57′Alexandru Cicâldău
62′Assad Al Islam·Al HamlawiSimon Elisor
64′Paul Arnold GaritaAlexandru Stoian
65′Monday EtimStefan Baiaram
68′Simon Elisor
71′Juri CisottiMihai Toma
80′Joao Paulo Fernandes
83′David MateiLuca Băsceanu
84′Nicușor BancuHeriberto Tavares
84′Alexandru CicâldăuJoão Lameira
87′Simon Elisor

Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, CraiovaReferee: Horatiu Fesnic

Universitatea Craiova 58%
Draw 23%
FCSB 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 10
11 Shots on target 2
51 Possession % 49
5 Corners 1
15 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 6
338 Accurate passes 316

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversitatea CraiovaDrawFCSB
Model69.7%19.0%11.3%
Market53.5%24.9%21.6%
Final57.6%23.4%19.0%
Edge+16.2%-5.9%-10.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Universitatea Craiova

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Universitatea Craiova below the model: +16.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universitatea ↓ / FCSB → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 9% 8% 4+ 9% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 63%
No goals 5%

Universitatea Craiova and FCSB expected goals

Universitatea Craiova 2.36
FCSB 0.87

Total expected goals: 3.23

Universitatea Craiova and FCSB attack and defence ratings

Universitatea Craiova

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.76 -24%

FCSB

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB: result vs prediction

Universitatea Craiova 5 – 0 FCSB

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitatea Craiova 57.6% 1.74 +16.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.7% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Universitatea Craiova win 47.8% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universitatea Craiova57.6%
Draw23.4%
FCSB19.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%
Both teams to scoreYes53.5%
No46.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.0%
12 (either side)76.6%
X2 (draw or away)42.4%
Handicap -1Universitatea Craiova win47.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss30.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.0%
2-19.6%
1-18.9%

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB stats

Universitatea Craiova and FCSB recent form

newest first
Universitatea Craiova WWDLWD
FCSB DLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitatea Craiova and FCSB going into this match

league record before kick-off

Universitatea Craiova record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FCSB record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Universitatea Craiova wins 3Draws 4FCSB wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15Universitatea CraiovaFCSBLiga I1-0
2026-02-12Universitatea CraiovaFCSBCupa României2-2
2025-10-05FCSBUniversitatea CraiovaLiga I1-0
2025-05-17FCSBUniversitatea CraiovaLiga I1-0
2025-04-13Universitatea CraiovaFCSBLiga I0-0
2025-03-09FCSBUniversitatea CraiovaLiga I1-0
2024-12-18FCSBUniversitatea CraiovaCupa României0-2
2024-11-03Universitatea CraiovaFCSBLiga I1-1
2024-05-06Universitatea CraiovaFCSBLiga I2-0
2024-04-07FCSBUniversitatea CraiovaLiga I2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 24.9%, away 21.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.73 3.70 4.33
Bet365 1.67 3.50 4.10
BetVictor 1.70 3.70 4.20
Betano 1.72 3.75 4.25
Marathonbet 1.71 3.70 4.33
Pinnacle 1.76 3.84 4.46
SBO 1.77 3.26 3.38
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.72 ▼ -0.50
X 3.70 ▲ +0.60
2 4.27 ▲ +1.21

27 snapshots recorded, from .