Liga I Β· Β·Matchday 12

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj

Garuda Lions Prediction: Uta Arad

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

Arena Francisc Neuman, Arad

Uta Arad 46%
Draw 27%
CFR 1907 Cluj 27%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Uta Arad wins
46%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
58%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUta AradDrawCFR 1907 Cluj
Model52.0%25.2%22.9%
Market44.4%27.4%28.2%
Final46.3%26.8%26.9%
Edge+7.6%-2.2%-5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Uta Arad

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.15.
  • The market prices Uta Arad below the model: +7.6 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj match preview

Uta Arad faces CFR 1907 Cluj in an upcoming Liga I match, with Uta Arad holding a 46% probability of winning according to our model, while both a draw and a CFR 1907 Cluj victory are estimated at 27%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Uta Arad, with an expected goals tally of 1.82 for Uta Arad compared to 1.15 for CFR 1907 Cluj.

Recent form shows Uta Arad with two wins in their last five matches, while CFR 1907 Cluj has also secured two wins in the same timeframe. In their last two encounters, Uta Arad has not won against CFR 1907 Cluj, recording one draw and one loss. The model indicates a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% likelihood that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Uta Arad ↓ / CFR 1907 Cluj β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 8% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals

Uta Arad 1.82
CFR 1907 Cluj 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.96

Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj attack and defence ratings

Uta Arad

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.02 +2%

CFR 1907 Cluj

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Uta Arad 46.3% 2.16 +7.6% 2.18
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 58.2% 1.72 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 48.0% 2.08 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Uta Arad46.3%
Draw26.8%
CFR 1907 Cluj26.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%
Both teams to scoreYes58.2%
No41.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.1%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)53.7%
Handicap -1Uta Arad win29.8%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss48.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.8%
2-08.5%

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj stats

Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj recent form

newest first
Uta Arad LWLWWD
CFR 1907 Cluj WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Uta Arad and CFR 1907 Cluj season so far

league record

Uta Arad record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CFR 1907 Cluj record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Uta Arad wins 1Draws 1CFR 1907 Cluj wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-04Uta AradCFR 1907 ClujLiga I0-1
2025-09-21CFR 1907 ClujUta AradLiga I1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Uta Arad vs CFR 1907 Cluj odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 27.4%, away 28.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 3.40 3.34
Betano 2.18 3.25 3.20
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.30
Dafabet 2.16 3.30 3.20
Marathonbet 2.04 3.40 3.32
Pinnacle 2.12 3.45 3.32
William Hill 2.10 3.25 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 β–Ό -0.30
X 3.40 β–² +0.30
2 3.30 β–² +0.38

16 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Uta Arad Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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