Arges Pitesti
vs
Uta Arad
Garuda Lions Prediction: Arges Pitesti
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 11% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β Arges Pitesti is the favourite, not a value bet.
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad
| Probability | Arges Pitesti | Draw | Uta Arad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.4% | 32.9% | 34.8% |
| Market | 36.6% | 30.1% | 33.3% |
| Final | 35.5% | 30.8% | 33.7% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.7% | +0.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.56, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (our 35.5% Γ 2.56 β 1).
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad match preview
Arges Pitesti faces Uta Arad in a Liga I matchup with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the outcome are Arges Pitesti at 36%, a draw at 31%, and Uta Arad at 34%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Arges Pitesti, with an 11% chance. Both teams have shown contrasting recent form, with Arges Pitesti recording a series of draws and losses, while Uta Arad has secured three wins in their last five matches.
The expected goals for the match indicate a close contest, with Arges Pitesti at 1.01 and Uta Arad slightly ahead at 1.06. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 34%, while the chance of both teams scoring is estimated at 43%. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Arges Pitesti has not secured a win, recording one draw and one loss against Uta Arad.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad attack and defence ratings
Arges Pitesti
Uta Arad
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FC Botosani v Petrolul Ploiesti β match page
- Corvinul Hunedoara vs Universitatea Cluj
- Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari β team news & stats
- Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Universitatea Craiova β team news & stats
- FCSB vs Rapid β team news & stats
- Farul Constanta v OΕ£elul β match page
- CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Before and after this match
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arges Pitesti | 35.5% | 2.81 | -1.1% | 2.56 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.75 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.2% | 1.45 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.6% | 1.48 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arges Pitesti | 35.5% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Uta Arad | 33.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Arges Pitesti win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 67.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 13.9% | |
| 0-1 | 12.0% |
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad stats
Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad recent form
| Arges Pitesti |
DLLDLL |
| Uta Arad |
WLWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Arges Pitesti and Uta Arad season so far
Arges Pitesti record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Uta Arad record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Uta Arad | Arges Pitesti | Liga I | 3-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad | Liga I | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-30 | Uta Arad | Arges Pitesti | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-16 | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad | Liga I | 2-0 |
| 2021-11-27 | Uta Arad | Arges Pitesti | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2021-07-23 | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2021-04-27 | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad | Liga I | 4-1 |
| 2021-01-23 | Uta Arad | Arges Pitesti | Liga I | 1-2 |
| 2020-09-11 | Arges Pitesti | Uta Arad | Liga I | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Arges Pitesti vs Uta Arad odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 30.1%, away 33.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.05 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.52 | 3.10 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.05 | 2.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.56 | 3.13 | 2.84 |
| SBO | 2.32 | 2.83 | 2.58 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .