Garuda Lions
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Liga I Β· Β·Matchday 14

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti

Garuda Lions Prediction: Corvinul Hunedoara

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.76.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Corvinul Hunedoara is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Corvinul Hunedoara

Stadionul Francisc von Neuman, Arad

Corvinul Hunedoara 44%
Draw 30%
Arges Pitesti 25%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Corvinul Hunedoara wins
44%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
39%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCorvinul HunedoaraDrawArges Pitesti
Model45.3%32.7%22.0%
Market44.0%29.7%26.3%
Final44.3%30.5%25.2%
Edge+0.3%+0.7%-1.1%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Corvinul Hunedoara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.14, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.2% per unit staked (our 44.3% Γ— 2.14 βˆ’ 1).

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti match preview

Corvinul Hunedoara hosts Arges Pitesti in a Liga I matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Corvinul Hunedoara has a 46% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 30% and Arges Pitesti at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Corvinul Hunedoara, with a 16% probability. The expected goals for Corvinul Hunedoara is 1.21, compared to 0.76 for Arges Pitesti.

In terms of recent form, Corvinul Hunedoara has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Arges Pitesti has not fared better, with two draws and four losses in the same timeframe. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 32%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 39%. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Corvinul Huned ↓ / Arges Pitesti β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 16% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti expected goals

Corvinul Hunedoara 1.21
Arges Pitesti 0.76

Total expected goals: 1.97

Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti attack and defence ratings

Corvinul Hunedoara

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Arges Pitesti

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Corvinul Hunedoara 44.3% 2.26 +0.3% 2.14
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.6% 1.46 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 61.5% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.8% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 54.7% 1.83 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Corvinul Hunedoara44.3%
Draw30.5%
Arges Pitesti25.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.4%
Under 2.568.6%
Both teams to scoreYes38.5%
No61.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.8%
12 (either side)69.5%
X2 (draw or away)55.7%
Handicap -1Corvinul Hunedoara win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss54.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.6%
0-015.3%
1-114.1%
Compare prices for this pick

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti stats

Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti recent form

newest first
Corvinul Hunedoara LLWWLL
Arges Pitesti LDLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Corvinul Hunedoara and Arges Pitesti season so far

league record

Corvinul Hunedoara record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.

Arges Pitesti record

  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Corvinul Hunedoara vs Arges Pitesti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 29.7%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 3.24 3.50
BetVictor 2.05 3.10 3.40
Betano 2.10 3.05 3.60
Betfair 2.10 3.10 3.50
Dafabet 2.09 3.05 3.65
Marathonbet 2.04 3.24 3.48
Pinnacle 2.14 3.12 3.64
William Hill 2.10 3.00 3.50
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.09 β–Ό -0.46
X 3.10 β–² +0.15
2 3.50 β–² +0.65

15 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Corvinul Hunedoara Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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