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Liga I Β· Β·Matchday 14

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB

Garuda Lions Prediction: Universitatea Cluj

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 1.52.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence β€” both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Bet on Universitatea Cluj

Cluj Arena, Cluj-Napoca

Universitatea Cluj 42%
Draw 27%
FCSB 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Universitatea Cluj wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
98%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
74%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
8% of simulated outcomes

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUniversitatea ClujDrawFCSB
Model63.4%18.1%18.6%
Market35.4%29.7%35.0%
Final42.4%26.8%30.9%
Edge+7.0%-2.9%-4.1%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Universitatea Cluj

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 1.52.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Universitatea Cluj below our published probability: +7.0 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.63, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +11.4% per unit staked (our 42.4% Γ— 2.63 βˆ’ 1).

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB match preview

Universitatea Cluj faces FCSB in an intriguing Liga I matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Universitatea Cluj has a 43% chance of winning, while FCSB has a 30% chance, and a draw stands at 27%. The expected goals for Universitatea Cluj are 2.79, compared to FCSB's 1.52, indicating a strong offensive performance from the home side. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Universitatea Cluj.

In terms of recent form, Universitatea Cluj has shown solid results with three consecutive wins, while FCSB has had mixed outcomes, winning three but losing two of their last five matches. Our model suggests an 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an exciting encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Universitatea ↓ / FCSB β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 2 5% 8% 6% 3 7% 6% 4+ 7% 10% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 80%
No goals 2%

Universitatea Cluj and FCSB expected goals

Universitatea Cluj 2.78
FCSB 1.52

Total expected goals: 4.29

Universitatea Cluj and FCSB attack and defence ratings

Universitatea Cluj

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.19 +19%

FCSB

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Universitatea Cluj 42.4% 2.36 +7.0% 2.63
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 80.1% 1.25 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 73.7% 1.36 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Universitatea Cluj win 44.1% 2.27 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Universitatea Cluj42.4%
Draw26.8%
FCSB30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.580.1%
Under 2.519.9%
Both teams to scoreYes73.7%
No26.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)57.6%
Handicap -1Universitatea Cluj win44.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss36.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.0%
3-17.4%
1-16.3%
Compare prices for this pick

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB stats

Universitatea Cluj and FCSB recent form

newest first
Universitatea Cluj WDLWWW
FCSB WWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Universitatea Cluj and FCSB season so far

league record

Universitatea Cluj record

  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).

FCSB record

  • They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Universitatea Cluj wins 0Draws 1FCSB wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07FCSBUniversitatea ClujLiga I1-3
2025-11-01Universitatea ClujFCSBLiga I0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Universitatea Cluj vs FCSB odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.4%, draw 29.7%, away 35.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.53 3.34 2.56
Betano 2.60 3.10 2.70
Betfair 2.63 3.10 2.63
Dafabet 2.60 3.05 2.70
Marathonbet 2.53 3.34 2.56
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 β€”
X 3.10 β–² +0.05
2 2.63 β–Ό -0.07

15 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Universitatea Cluj Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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