FCSB
vs
Rapid
Garuda Lions Prediction: FCSB
2 – 1 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FCSB is the favourite, not a value bet.
FCSB vs Rapid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FCSB vs Rapid
| Probability | FCSB | Draw | Rapid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.4% | 25.6% | 51.0% |
| Market | 43.5% | 27.4% | 29.1% |
| Final | 38.5% | 26.9% | 34.6% |
| Edge | -5.0% | -0.5% | +5.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.18, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.1% per unit staked (our 38.5% × 2.18 − 1).
FCSB vs Rapid match preview
FCSB faces Rapid in an upcoming Liga I match with FCSB holding a 39% probability of winning, while Rapid has a 34% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of FCSB, occurring with a 6% likelihood. The model also suggests a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, FCSB has recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Rapid is in strong form with five consecutive wins followed by a draw. The expected goals for FCSB stand at 1.14, while Rapid is forecasted at 1.77. In their last two encounters, FCSB has one win and one draw against Rapid.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FCSB and Rapid expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
FCSB and Rapid attack and defence ratings
FCSB
Rapid
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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Before and after this match
FCSB vs Rapid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FCSB | 38.5% | 2.60 | -5.0% | 2.18 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FCSB | 38.5% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Rapid | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FCSB win | 9.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.9% | |
| Loss | 76.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
FCSB vs Rapid stats
FCSB and Rapid recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FCSB and Rapid season so far
FCSB record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rapid record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FCSB vs Rapid head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | FCSB | Rapid | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Rapid | FCSB | Liga I | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FCSB vs Rapid odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 27.4%, away 29.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.34 | 3.22 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.34 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.41 | 3.24 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 3.06 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .