FC Botosani
vs
Petrolul Ploiesti
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Botosani
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.08.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — FC Botosani is the favourite, not a value bet.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti
| Probability | FC Botosani | Draw | Petrolul Ploiesti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.2% | 26.1% | 22.7% |
| Market | 49.9% | 25.6% | 24.5% |
| Final | 50.3% | 25.7% | 24.0% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
Why FC Botosani
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.08.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.0% per unit staked (our 50.3% × 1.91 − 1).
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti match preview
FC Botosani hosts Petrolul Ploiesti in a Liga I matchup where the home side has a 50% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and Petrolul Ploiesti at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Both teams have shown some inconsistency in their recent form, with FC Botosani recording a sequence of L-W-L-D-W-D, and Petrolul Ploiesti showing D-L-W-D-W-W.
In terms of expected goals, FC Botosani is projected to score 1.72, whereas Petrolul Ploiesti is expected to net 1.08. The model indicates a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood that both teams will score. Historically, in their last 10 encounters, FC Botosani has secured 2 wins, while Petrolul Ploiesti has achieved 5 victories, with 3 matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti attack and defence ratings
FC Botosani
Petrolul Ploiesti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 50.3% | 1.99 | +0.3% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Botosani | 50.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 24.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Botosani win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti stats
FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti recent form
| FC Botosani |
LWLDWD |
| Petrolul Ploiesti |
DLWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Botosani and Petrolul Ploiesti season so far
FC Botosani record
- They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrolul Ploiesti record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Botosani | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-07 | FC Botosani | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Petrolul Ploiesti | FC Botosani | Liga I | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Petrolul Ploiesti | FC Botosani | Liga I | 0-2 |
| 2025-01-27 | Petrolul Ploiesti | FC Botosani | Liga I | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | FC Botosani | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-29 | Petrolul Ploiesti | FC Botosani | Liga I | 1-2 |
| 2023-11-24 | Petrolul Ploiesti | FC Botosani | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-24 | FC Botosani | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-29 | Petrolul Ploiesti | FC Botosani | Liga I | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Botosani vs Petrolul Ploiesti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 25.6%, away 24.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.64 | 3.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.64 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.88 | 3.85 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.06 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .