Petrolul Ploiesti
vs
CFR 1907 Cluj
Garuda Lions Prediction: Petrolul Ploiesti
2 β 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.17.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence β both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj
| Probability | Petrolul Ploiesti | Draw | CFR 1907 Cluj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.8% | 23.0% | 20.2% |
| Market | 33.8% | 29.0% | 37.2% |
| Final | 39.5% | 27.5% | 32.9% |
| Edge | +5.7% | -1.5% | -4.2% |
Why Petrolul Ploiesti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.17.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Petrolul Ploiesti below our published probability: +5.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.88, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +13.9% per unit staked (our 39.5% Γ 2.88 β 1).
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj match preview
Petrolul Ploiesti hosts CFR 1907 Cluj in a Liga I matchup with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Petrolul Ploiesti has a 39% probability of winning, while CFR 1907 Cluj stands at 32%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The expected goals indicate Petrolul Ploiesti at 1.99 and CFR 1907 Cluj at 1.10, suggesting a competitive encounter. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Petrolul Ploiesti.
In terms of recent form, Petrolul Ploiesti has recorded three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches, while CFR 1907 Cluj has experienced two wins, three losses, and one draw. The head-to-head record in their last two encounters shows each team with one win. Our model indicates a 60% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.22
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj attack and defence ratings
Petrolul Ploiesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 39.5% | 2.53 | +5.7% | 2.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 39.5% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| CFR 1907 Cluj | 32.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.0% |
| No | 39.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Petrolul Ploiesti win | 34.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.4% |
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj stats
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj recent form
| Petrolul Ploiesti |
WDLWDW |
| CFR 1907 Cluj |
DLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Petrolul Ploiesti and CFR 1907 Cluj season so far
Petrolul Ploiesti record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CFR 1907 Cluj record
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | CFR 1907 Cluj | Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Petrolul Ploiesti | CFR 1907 Cluj | Liga I | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR 1907 Cluj odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.8%, draw 29.0%, away 37.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.25 | 2.43 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.25 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .