Garuda Lions
Today
Liga I Β· Β·Matchday 14

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta

Garuda Lions Prediction: Farul Constanta

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 8% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Farul Constanta is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Farul Constanta

Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu, Voluntari

FC Voluntari 31%
Draw 27%
Farul Constanta 42%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Farul Constanta wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
71%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC VoluntariDrawFarul Constanta
Model33.2%23.2%43.6%
Market30.0%28.6%41.4%
Final30.8%27.3%41.9%
Edge+0.8%-1.3%+0.6%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Farul Constanta

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (our 41.9% Γ— 2.27 βˆ’ 1).

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta match preview

FC Voluntari faces Farul Constanta in an upcoming Liga I match, with the probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. FC Voluntari has a 31% chance of winning, while Farul Constanta is favored at 40%, and a draw stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, with a 9% probability. The expected goals for FC Voluntari are 1.55, while Farul Constanta has an expected goal tally of 1.63.

In terms of recent form, FC Voluntari has struggled, recording five losses followed by one win, while Farul Constanta has shown resilience with two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches. The model suggests a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%, indicating an expectation for an engaging match.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Voluntari ↓ / Farul Constant β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 1 9% 8% 5% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta expected goals

FC Voluntari 1.70
Farul Constanta 1.96

Total expected goals: 3.67

FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta attack and defence ratings

FC Voluntari

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.47 +47%

Farul Constanta

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Farul Constanta 41.9% 2.39 +0.6% 2.27
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.9% 1.41 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 71.2% 1.40 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.38 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 56.4% 1.77 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Voluntari30.8%
Draw27.3%
Farul Constanta41.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.9%
Under 2.529.1%
Both teams to scoreYes71.2%
No28.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.1%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)69.2%
Handicap -1Farul Constanta win24.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss56.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
1-28.4%
2-17.3%
Compare prices for this pick

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta stats

FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta recent form

newest first
FC Voluntari LLLLLW
Farul Constanta WLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta season so far

league record

FC Voluntari record

  • They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Farul Constanta record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Voluntari vs Farul Constanta odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 28.6%, away 41.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.04 3.26 2.25
Betano 3.15 3.10 2.27
Betfair 3.10 3.25 2.25
Dafabet 3.20 3.05 2.27
Marathonbet 3.02 3.26 2.23
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.10 β–Ό -0.12
X 3.25 β–² +0.20
2 2.25 β–Ό -0.04

15 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Farul Constanta Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now