Liga I Β· Β·Matchday 14

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad

Garuda Lions Prediction: Dinamo Bucuresti

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.72.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stadionul Arcul de Triumf, Bucharest

Dinamo Bucuresti 66%
Draw 22%
Uta Arad 12%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Dinamo Bucuresti wins
66%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
45%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDinamo BucurestiDrawUta Arad
Model66.0%22.3%11.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final66.0%22.3%11.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Dinamo Bucuresti

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad match preview

Dinamo Bucuresti enters this match with a strong recent form, having won their last five matches, followed by a draw. Their expected goals stand at 1.95, indicating a solid attacking performance. In contrast, Uta Arad has had a mixed run, winning three of their last six games, with an expected goal tally of just 0.60.

According to our model, Dinamo Bucuresti has a 69% probability of winning, while Uta Arad's chances sit at 10%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-0 in favor of Dinamo Bucuresti, with a 15% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams scoring has a 40% probability.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Dinamo Bucures ↓ / Uta Arad β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 13% 9% 3 9% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad expected goals

Dinamo Bucuresti 1.98
Uta Arad 0.72

Total expected goals: 2.69

Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad attack and defence ratings

Dinamo Bucuresti

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Uta Arad

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Liga I

Before and after this match

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Dinamo Bucuresti 66.0% 1.51 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 54.9% 1.82 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.3% 1.13 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Dinamo Bucuresti win 41.6% 2.40 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Dinamo Bucuresti66.0%
Draw22.3%
Uta Arad11.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.5%
Under 2.549.5%
Both teams to scoreYes45.1%
No54.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.3%
12 (either side)77.7%
X2 (draw or away)34.0%
Handicap -1Dinamo Bucuresti win41.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss34.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.2%
1-012.4%
1-110.6%

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad stats

Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad recent form

newest first
Dinamo Bucuresti DWWWWW
Uta Arad WWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dinamo Bucuresti and Uta Arad season so far

league record

Dinamo Bucuresti record

  • They have won 9 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Uta Arad record

  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Dinamo Bucuresti wins 1Draws 1Uta Arad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-20Uta AradDinamo BucurestiLiga I2-0
2025-08-15Dinamo BucurestiUta AradLiga I1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dinamo Bucuresti vs Uta Arad odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Dinamo Bucuresti Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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