UEFA Europa Conference League Β· Β·League Stage - 1

KuPS vs Trabzonspor

Garuda Lions Prediction: Trabzonspor

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

Tammelan Stadion, Tampere

KuPS 21%
Draw 24%
Trabzonspor 55%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Trabzonspor wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

KuPS vs Trabzonspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs Trabzonspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKuPSDrawTrabzonspor
Model37.6%32.3%30.2%
Market15.3%21.9%62.8%
Final20.9%24.5%54.6%
Edge+22.2%+10.4%-32.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Trabzonspor

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.53, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor match preview

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League match, KuPS faces Trabzonspor with probabilities indicating a 21% chance for a KuPS win, a 24% chance for a draw, and a 55% likelihood of a Trabzonspor victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability. The expected goals for KuPS stand at 1.14, while Trabzonspor is slightly lower at 0.99.

Recent form shows KuPS with mixed results, recording L-W-D-D-L-W, while Trabzonspor has had a more varied performance with W-L-W-L-L-W. The model suggests a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability that both teams will score, reflecting a competitive matchup. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KuPS ↓ / Trabzonspor β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

KuPS and Trabzonspor expected goals

KuPS 1.14
Trabzonspor 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.13

KuPS and Trabzonspor attack and defence ratings

KuPS

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Trabzonspor

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

KuPS vs Trabzonspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trabzonspor 54.6% 1.83 -32.6% 1.53
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.2% 1.56 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 55.9% 1.79 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.1% 1.26 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 69.8% 1.43 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KuPS20.9%
Draw24.5%
Trabzonspor54.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.8%
Under 2.564.2%
Both teams to scoreYes44.1%
No55.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.4%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)79.1%
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win11.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss69.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.2%
1-012.2%

KuPS vs Trabzonspor stats

KuPS and Trabzonspor recent form

newest first
KuPS LWDDLW
Trabzonspor WLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.3%, draw 21.9%, away 62.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.48 4.41 1.53
Bet365 6.25 4.00 1.45
BetVictor 6.00 4.20 1.45
Betano 6.30 4.45 1.50
Betfair 5.50 4.33 1.50
Dafabet 6.40 4.50 1.49
Marathonbet 6.25 4.25 1.47
Pinnacle 5.85 4.48 1.50
SBO 5.61 3.93 1.40
William Hill 5.00 3.75 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.12 β€”
X 4.29 β€”
2 1.50 β€”

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Trabzonspor Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now