Garuda Lions
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UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 1

KuPS vs Trabzonspor

2 – 4 Full time

3′P. Onuachu
10′P. OnuachuFranculino
21′Julius Eskesen
24′Samet Akaydın
34′Piotr Parzyszek
44′M. Salah
47′Franculino
51′Batista Mendy
54′P. Pennanen
55′B. MendyFabinho
55′O. TufanT. Jabol-Folcarelli
55′M. SalahN. Saviolo
63′P. PennanenT. Jyry
63′B. ArmahA. Aiki
64′J. Luyeye-LutumbaG. Engvall
74′S. PasanenS. Touray
74′P. ParzyszekJ. J. Moreno Ciorciari
74′A. SimsirE. Muci
85′Kasim Adams
90′Franculino
90′G. Engvall

Tammelan Stadion, TampereReferee: I. Barbara

KuPS 20%
Draw 25%
Trabzonspor 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 8
45 Possession % 55
9 Corners 6
13 Fouls 12
4 Saves 6
300 Accurate passes 396

KuPS vs Trabzonspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs Trabzonspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKuPSDrawTrabzonspor
Model29.0%33.5%37.5%
Market17.1%22.2%60.7%
Final20.0%25.0%54.9%
Edge+3.0%+2.8%-5.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Trabzonspor

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KuPS ↓ / Trabzonspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 13% 8% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

KuPS and Trabzonspor expected goals

KuPS 0.91
Trabzonspor 1.07

Total expected goals: 1.98

KuPS and Trabzonspor attack and defence ratings

KuPS

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Trabzonspor

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor: result vs prediction

KuPS 2 – 4 Trabzonspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 1 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

KuPS vs Trabzonspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Trabzonspor 54.9% 1.82 -5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.5% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KuPS20.0%
Draw25.0%
Trabzonspor54.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.9%
Under 2.568.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.1%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)80.0%
Handicap -1Trabzonspor win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss62.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.1%
1-114.8%
0-113.4%

KuPS vs Trabzonspor stats

KuPS and Trabzonspor recent form

newest first
KuPS LLWDDL
Trabzonspor WWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

KuPS vs Trabzonspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.1%, draw 22.2%, away 60.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.01 4.40 1.56
Bet365 5.25 4.20 1.55
BetVictor 5.50 4.10 1.53
Betano 5.50 4.45 1.62
Betfair 5.50 4.20 1.53
Dafabet 5.40 4.30 1.60
Marathonbet 5.80 4.25 1.50
Pinnacle 5.48 4.37 1.58
SBO 5.03 3.91 1.54
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.50 ▼ -0.62
X 4.22 ▼ -0.07
2 1.54 ▲ +0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .