Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 27

Inter Turku vs KuPS

1 – 0 Full time

5′Luka Kuittinen
12′Eeli Kiiskilä
24′Clinton Antwi
45′Valentin Gasc
55′Bob Nii ArmahAyman Aiki
60′Brahima Magassa
62′Tommi JyryTaneli Hämäläinen
67′Lauri LaineHerman Sjögrell
79′Clinton Degol Jephta
79′Jaime MorenoPiotr Parzyszek
79′Saikou TourayJulius Eskesen
79′Akseli PuukkoSaku Savolainen
84′Eeli KiiskiläJohannes Yli-Kokko
87′Miika Nuutinen
90′Alie ContehJean Botué
90′Jasse TuominenIiro Järvinen

Veritas Stadium, TurkuReferee: Mohammad Al-Emara

Inter Turku 42%
Draw 32%
KuPS 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
59 Possession % 41
3 Corners 2
16 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
404 Accurate passes 332

Inter Turku vs KuPS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Turku vs KuPS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter TurkuDrawKuPS
Model35.6%39.0%25.4%
Market43.8%29.1%27.1%
Final41.7%31.6%26.7%
Edge-2.1%+2.5%-0.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Inter Turku

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Turku ↓ / KuPS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 14% 1 17% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Inter Turku and KuPS expected goals

Inter Turku 0.84
KuPS 0.66

Total expected goals: 1.50

Inter Turku and KuPS attack and defence ratings

Inter Turku

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.65 -35%

KuPS

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Turku vs KuPS: result vs prediction

Inter Turku 1 – 0 KuPS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 27 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Inter Turku vs KuPS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Turku 41.7% 2.40 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81.0% 1.24 — —
Both teams to score No 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.4% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Turku41.7%
Draw31.6%
KuPS26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.0%
Under 2.581.0%
Both teams to scoreYes28.6%
No71.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)68.4%
X2 (draw or away)58.3%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win12.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss64.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.6%
1-017.5%
1-113.6%

Inter Turku vs KuPS stats

Inter Turku and KuPS recent form

newest first
Inter Turku DWWLWL
KuPS LWDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Turku and KuPS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS record

  • They have won 13 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Inter Turku vs KuPS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Inter Turku wins 4Draws 4KuPS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-31Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-0
2026-05-30KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-1
2025-11-02KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga3-2
2025-10-05Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga0-3
2025-08-17KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-1
2025-04-05Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-09-21Inter TurkuKuPSSuomen Cup1-2
2024-09-01KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-2
2024-04-19Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-03-30Inter TurkuKuPSLeague Cup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Turku vs KuPS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.8%, draw 29.1%, away 27.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 3.30 3.40
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.30
BetVictor 2.10 3.13 3.40
Betano 2.18 3.15 3.45
Betfair 2.05 3.10 3.30
Dafabet 2.21 3.25 3.45
Marathonbet 2.09 3.30 3.40
Pinnacle 2.19 3.19 3.79
SBO 2.15 3.02 3.19
William Hill 2.10 3.00 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 —
X 3.17 ▼ -0.03
2 3.40 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .