Veikkausliiga Β· Β·Championship Group - 27

Inter Turku vs KuPS

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 24% model probability

Veritas Stadion, Turku

Inter Turku 36%
Draw 39%
KuPS 25%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
76%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
29%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
24% of simulated outcomes

Inter Turku vs KuPS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Turku vs KuPS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter TurkuDrawKuPS
Model35.6%39.1%25.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final35.6%39.1%25.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Inter Turku vs KuPS match preview

Inter Turku faces KuPS in a Veikkausliiga matchup with a kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model probabilities indicate a 35% chance for an Inter Turku win, a 37% likelihood of a draw, and a 28% chance for a KuPS victory. The most likely scoreline is a 0-0 draw, with a 20% probability. Expected goals suggest Inter Turku at 0.90 and KuPS at 0.78, highlighting a potentially low-scoring affair.

Recent form shows Inter Turku with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while KuPS has one win, two draws, and two losses. In their last ten encounters, Inter Turku has secured 2 wins, while KuPS has 4 wins, with 4 matches ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this fixture is C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Turku ↓ / KuPS β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 24% 14% 1 17% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 76%
2+ goals 45%
3+ goals 19%
No goals 24%

Inter Turku and KuPS expected goals

Inter Turku 0.84
KuPS 0.66

Total expected goals: 1.50

Inter Turku and KuPS attack and defence ratings

Inter Turku

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 0.65 -35%

KuPS

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Championship Group - 27 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Inter Turku vs KuPS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 39.1% 2.56 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81.0% 1.23 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 71.4% 1.40 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.6% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 64.4% 1.55 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Turku35.6%
Draw39.1%
KuPS25.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.519.0%
Under 2.581.0%
Both teams to scoreYes28.6%
No71.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.6%
12 (either side)60.9%
X2 (draw or away)64.4%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss64.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-023.7%
1-017.5%
1-113.6%

Inter Turku vs KuPS stats

Inter Turku and KuPS recent form

newest first
Inter Turku DWWLWL
KuPS LWDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Turku and KuPS season so far

league record

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Inter Turku vs KuPS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Inter Turku wins 4Draws 4KuPS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-31Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-0
2026-05-30KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-1
2025-11-02KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga3-2
2025-10-05Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga0-3
2025-08-17KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-1
2025-04-05Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-09-21Inter TurkuKuPSSuomen Cup1-2
2024-09-01KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-2
2024-04-19Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-03-30Inter TurkuKuPSLeague Cup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Turku vs KuPS odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

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