Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 26

Gnistan vs Inter Turku

0 – 0 Full time

17′Robert Ivanov
31′Jasse Tuominen
31′Adam Jouhi
32′Bismark AmpofoEeli Kiiskilä
62′Joakim LatonenRoman Eremenko
69′Saku YlätupaDanny Pérez
71′Seth SaarinenJulius Tauriainen
71′Clinton Degol JephtaLauri Laine
79′Gabriel EuropaeusSergey Eremenko
83′Herman Sjögrell
85′Herman SjögrellMuhammed Suso
85′Jasse TuominenJean Botué

Mustapekka Areena, HelsinkiReferee: Peiman Simani

Gnistan 29%
Draw 27%
Inter Turku 43%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 3
39 Possession % 61
5 Corners 8
10 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
241 Accurate passes 487

Gnistan vs Inter Turku overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gnistan vs Inter Turku

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGnistanDrawInter Turku
Model40.2%32.0%27.8%
Market25.7%25.7%48.6%
Final29.3%27.3%43.4%
Edge+14.5%+6.4%-20.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gnistan ↓ / Inter Turku → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Gnistan and Inter Turku expected goals

Gnistan 1.19
Inter Turku 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.13

Gnistan and Inter Turku attack and defence ratings

Gnistan

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Inter Turku

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gnistan vs Inter Turku: result vs prediction

Gnistan 0 – 0 Inter Turku

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 26 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Gnistan vs Inter Turku markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Turku 43.4% 2.30 -20.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.7% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.2% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gnistan29.3%
Draw27.3%
Inter Turku43.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%
Both teams to scoreYes43.8%
No56.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.6%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)70.7%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win10.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss72.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-013.2%
1-012.7%

Gnistan vs Inter Turku stats

Gnistan and Inter Turku recent form

newest first
Gnistan DWDDWW
Inter Turku WWLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gnistan and Inter Turku going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gnistan record

  • They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gnistan vs Inter Turku head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Gnistan wins 2Draws 6Inter Turku wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Inter TurkuGnistanVeikkausliiga1-2
2026-05-05GnistanInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-0
2026-01-17GnistanInter TurkuLeague Cup0-3
2025-10-22Inter TurkuGnistanVeikkausliiga2-1
2025-09-13GnistanInter TurkuVeikkausliiga0-2
2025-06-27GnistanInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-2
2025-04-12Inter TurkuGnistanVeikkausliiga3-0
2025-02-15Inter TurkuGnistanLeague Cup2-0
2024-10-19Inter TurkuGnistanVeikkausliiga3-2
2024-07-22Inter TurkuGnistanVeikkausliiga2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gnistan vs Inter Turku odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.7%, draw 25.7%, away 48.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.64 3.65 1.92
Bet365 3.50 3.40 1.90
BetVictor 3.50 3.50 1.90
Betano 4.10 3.60 1.82
Betfair 3.60 3.60 1.85
Marathonbet 3.64 3.65 1.90
Pinnacle 3.80 3.66 1.98
SBO 3.53 3.28 1.79
William Hill 3.60 3.40 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.60 ▼ -0.48
X 3.60 —
2 1.90 ▲ +0.11

13 snapshots recorded, from .