Garuda Lions
Today
Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 25

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku

0 – 1 Full time

15′Janne-Pekka Laine
39′Jasse Tuominen
42′Otto Kemppainen
56′Roope RiskiCamilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
56′Markus ArsaloIiro Mendolin
56′Otto KemppainenSami Sipola
69′Muhammed SusoHerman Sjögrell
69′Janne-Pekka LaineProsper Ahiabu
75′Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
76′Elias KallioJoel lotvonen
76′Mikko PitkanenSanteri Silander
77′Alie ContehJean Botué
77′Jasse TuominenJohannes Yli-Kokko
86′Juha Pirinen
90′Clinton Degol JephtaJulius Tauriainen

OTC Stadion, OuluReferee: Kontinen Joona

AC Oulu 24%
Draw 30%
Inter Turku 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 7
40 Possession % 60
0 Corners 5
14 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2
6 Saves 1
313 Accurate passes 465

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AC Oulu vs Inter Turku

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAC OuluDrawInter Turku
Model24.9%36.0%39.1%
Market24.1%27.8%48.0%
Final24.3%29.8%45.8%
Edge+0.8%+8.2%-8.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Inter Turku

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AC Oulu ↓ / Inter Turku → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 16% 1 12% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

AC Oulu and Inter Turku expected goals

AC Oulu 0.73
Inter Turku 0.99

Total expected goals: 1.72

AC Oulu and Inter Turku attack and defence ratings

AC Oulu

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Inter Turku

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku: result vs prediction

AC Oulu 0 – 1 Inter Turku

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 25 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Turku 45.8% 2.18 -8.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.2% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score No 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.9% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AC Oulu24.3%
Draw29.8%
Inter Turku45.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524.8%
Under 2.575.2%
Both teams to scoreYes33.9%
No66.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.2%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)75.7%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win15.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss60.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.2%
0-116.4%
1-114.2%

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku stats

AC Oulu and Inter Turku recent form

newest first
AC Oulu LLDWLL
Inter Turku WLWLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AC Oulu and Inter Turku going into this match

league record before kick-off

AC Oulu record

  • They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 12 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2AC Oulu wins 3Draws 5Inter Turku wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-3
2026-06-13Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga0-0
2026-03-21Inter TurkuAC OuluLeague Cup2-1
2025-08-08Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga3-2
2025-04-26AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-4
2024-09-24AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-0
2024-08-10AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-0
2024-04-12Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga3-3
2023-09-03Inter TurkuAC OuluVeikkausliiga2-1
2023-06-11AC OuluInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.1%, draw 27.8%, away 48.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.94 3.42 1.91
Bet365 3.75 3.25 1.90
BetVictor 3.75 3.30 1.91
Betano 3.90 3.35 1.95
Betfair 3.80 3.30 1.85
Marathonbet 3.94 3.42 1.89
Pinnacle 4.07 3.51 1.98
SBO 3.58 3.14 1.96
William Hill 3.80 3.25 1.91

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.80 ▲ +0.76
X 3.30 ▼ -0.05
2 1.91 ▼ -0.24

13 snapshots recorded, from .