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Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 24

Inter Turku vs VPS

1 – 0 Full time

16′Robert Ivanov
39′Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan
40′Jayden Turfkruier
62′Johannes Yli-KokkoMuhammed Suso
62′Seth SaarinenJulius Tauriainen
65′Yassin DaoussiSimon Lindholm
69′Razak Simpson
70′Herman Sjögrell
73′Herman SjögrellIiro Järvinen
73′Janne-Pekka LaineProsper Ahiabu
77′Miika NiemiXavier Odhiambo
77′Jayden TurfkruierAntti-Ville Raisanen
83′Oluwaseyi OgunniyiCasper Holmelund
83′Paulo LimaJoonas Vahtera
84′Robert IvanovYeboah Amankwah
88′Prosper Ahiabu

Veritas Stadium, TurkuReferee: Joni Hyytia, Finland

Inter Turku 49%
Draw 28%
VPS 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
54 Possession % 46
2 Corners 5
8 Fouls 16
5 Offsides 5
2 Saves 4
503 Accurate passes 244

Inter Turku vs VPS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Turku vs VPS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter TurkuDrawVPS
Model31.6%33.4%35.0%
Market54.8%25.9%19.4%
Final49.0%27.7%23.3%
Edge-23.2%+7.5%+15.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Turku ↓ / VPS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 13% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Inter Turku and VPS expected goals

Inter Turku 0.97
VPS 1.04

Total expected goals: 2.01

Inter Turku and VPS attack and defence ratings

Inter Turku

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.83 -17%

VPS

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Turku vs VPS: result vs prediction

Inter Turku 1 – 0 VPS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 24 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Inter Turku vs VPS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Turku 49.0% 2.04 -23.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.3% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 58.4% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.4% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Turku49.0%
Draw27.7%
VPS23.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.7%
Under 2.567.3%
Both teams to scoreYes41.6%
No58.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.7%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win12.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss68.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.7%
0-112.5%

Inter Turku vs VPS stats

Inter Turku and VPS recent form

newest first
Inter Turku LWLDDW
VPS WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Turku and VPS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 11 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

VPS record

  • They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Inter Turku vs VPS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Inter Turku wins 2Draws 3VPS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-02VPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga0-1
2026-06-30VPSInter TurkuSuomen Cup2-3
2026-04-04Inter TurkuVPSVeikkausliiga0-0
2025-08-31Inter TurkuVPSVeikkausliiga2-1
2025-04-19VPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga0-2
2024-06-28Inter TurkuVPSVeikkausliiga3-1
2024-05-27VPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga3-1
2023-09-29VPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-1
2023-07-12Inter TurkuVPSVeikkausliiga0-2
2023-07-01VPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Turku vs VPS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 25.8%, away 19.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.71 3.65 4.80
888Sport 1.73 3.40 4.60
Bet365 1.70 3.40 5.25
BetVictor 1.67 3.60 4.60
Betano 1.70 3.60 4.85
Betfair 1.62 3.60 4.75
Dafabet 1.74 3.75 4.80
Marathonbet 1.69 3.65 4.85
Pinnacle 1.71 3.81 5.10
SBO 1.69 3.23 4.07
Unibet 1.79 3.65 4.20
William Hill 1.70 3.40 4.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.30
X 3.60 ▲ +0.25
2 4.80 ▲ +1.40

13 snapshots recorded, from .