Veikkausliiga
·
Full time
·Championship Group - 23
HJK Helsinki
vs
Inter Turku
2 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | Luka Kuittinen | ||
| 37′ | P. Ahiabu | ||
| 46′ | M. KirilovJ. Kallinen | ||
| 46′ | M. GueyeA. Cicale | ||
| 53′ | C. JephtaM. Suso | ||
| 53′ | M. Borchers | ||
| 67′ | J. Yli-KokkoJ. Laine | ||
| 67′ | H. SjogrellJ. Tuominen | ||
| 68′ | L. MollerL. Lappalainen | ||
| 79′ | L. MontanoN. Alho | ||
| 81′ | K. Simojoki | ||
| 87′ | Albin Granlund | ||
| 87′ | A. GranlundJ. Tauriainen | ||
| 87′ | B. AmpofoJ. Botue | ||
| 89′ | Pyry Mentu |
HJK Helsinki
38%
Draw
29%
Inter Turku
33%
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 5 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 427 | Accurate passes | 385 |
HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku overview
Garuda Lions analysis: HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku
| Probability | HJK Helsinki | Draw | Inter Turku |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.3% | 30.1% | 26.6% |
| Market | 36.1% | 28.5% | 35.4% |
| Final | 37.9% | 28.9% | 33.2% |
| Edge | +7.2% | +1.7% | -8.9% |
Why HJK Helsinki
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices HJK Helsinki below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku expected goals
HJK Helsinki
1.34
Inter Turku
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.34
HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku attack and defence ratings
HJK Helsinki
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Inter Turku
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku: result vs prediction
HJK Helsinki 2 – 1 Inter Turku
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Championship Group - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HJK Helsinki | 37.9% | 2.64 | +7.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | HJK Helsinki | 37.9% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Inter Turku | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | HJK Helsinki win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku stats
HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku recent form
| HJK Helsinki |
WLWLWD |
| Inter Turku |
WLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
HJK Helsinki and Inter Turku going into this match
HJK Helsinki record
- They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter Turku record
- They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2HJK Helsinki wins
6Draws
2Inter Turku wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Suomen Cup | 1-0 |
| 2026-06-17 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 3-3 |
| 2026-04-29 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-26 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-23 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-04 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 1-4 |
| 2025-05-03 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | HJK Helsinki | Inter Turku | League Cup | 4-4 |
| 2025-01-17 | Inter Turku | HJK Helsinki | League Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.1%, draw 28.5%, away 35.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| 1xBet | 2.56 | 3.34 | 2.62 |
| 888Sport | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.35 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.56 | 3.34 | 2.62 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63 | 3.55 | 2.70 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 3.07 | 2.54 |
| Superbet | 2.57 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.56 ▲ +0.06
X
3.25 ▼ -0.06
2
2.61 ▼ -0.03
11 snapshots recorded, from .