Gnistan
vs
KuPS
1 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | P. Parzyszek | ||
| 44′ | Petteri Pennanen | ||
| 48′ | B. Milovanov | ||
| 54′ | S. TourayT. Jyry | ||
| 54′ | A. AikiG. Engvall | ||
| 59′ | Piotr Parzyszek | ||
| 64′ | J. EskesenJ. J. Moreno Ciorciari | ||
| 64′ | P. ParzyszekJ. Luyeye-Lutumba | ||
| 71′ | S. EremenkoRuxi | ||
| 71′ | S. YlatupaD. Perez | ||
| 73′ | Danny Pérez | ||
| 83′ | V. R. GascS. Pasanen | ||
| 85′ | Edmund Arko-Mensah | ||
| 87′ | J. LatonenO. Hannula |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 236 | Accurate passes | 552 |
Gnistan vs KuPS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gnistan vs KuPS
| Probability | Gnistan | Draw | KuPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.3% | 27.2% | 23.5% |
| Market | 26.5% | 25.7% | 47.8% |
| Final | 32.2% | 26.1% | 41.7% |
| Edge | +22.8% | +1.5% | -24.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gnistan and KuPS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Gnistan and KuPS attack and defence ratings
Gnistan
KuPS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gnistan vs KuPS: result vs prediction
Gnistan 1 – 1 KuPS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gnistan vs KuPS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 41.7% | 2.40 | -24.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gnistan | 32.2% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| KuPS | 41.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | KuPS win | 9.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.3% | |
| Loss | 76.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Gnistan vs KuPS stats
Gnistan and KuPS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gnistan and KuPS going into this match
Gnistan record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
KuPS record
- They have won 12 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Gnistan vs KuPS head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Gnistan | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | KuPS | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-30 | KuPS | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Gnistan | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-4 |
| 2025-07-01 | KuPS | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 6-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Gnistan | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-07 | KuPS | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | Gnistan | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2021-03-20 | KuPS | Gnistan | Suomen Cup | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gnistan vs KuPS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.5%, draw 25.7%, away 47.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.88 |
| 1xBet | 3.59 | 3.65 | 1.94 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 3.54 | 3.62 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.71 | 3.87 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 3.28 | 3.42 | 1.95 |
| Superbet | 3.50 | 3.65 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .