Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Matchday 22

Inter Turku vs KuPS

1 – 0 Full time

45′Bismark Ampofo
46′J. TuominenJ. Yli-Kokko
50′Petteri Pennanen
55′J. J. Moreno CiorciariP. Parzyszek
58′Brahima Magassa
68′S. TourayV. R. Gasc
69′J. Luyeye-LutumbaA. Aiki
73′Janne-Pekka Laine
74′B. AmpofoP. Ahiabu
74′H. SjogrellM. Suso
83′J. EskesenS. Pasanen
90′M. Suso

Veritas Stadium, TurkuReferee: Antti Munukka, Finland

Inter Turku 39%
Draw 29%
KuPS 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Inter Turku vs KuPS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Inter Turku vs KuPS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInter TurkuDrawKuPS
Model35.0%31.7%33.4%
Market40.2%28.5%31.3%
Final38.9%29.3%31.9%
Edge-5.3%+3.2%+2.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Inter Turku ↓ / KuPS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 11% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Inter Turku and KuPS expected goals

Inter Turku 1.12
KuPS 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.22

Inter Turku and KuPS attack and defence ratings

Inter Turku

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.81 -19%

KuPS

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Inter Turku vs KuPS: result vs prediction

Inter Turku 1 – 0 KuPS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Inter Turku vs KuPS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Inter Turku 38.9% 2.57 -5.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 53.8% 1.86 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.7% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.0% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Inter Turku38.9%
Draw29.3%
KuPS31.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.2%
Under 2.561.8%
Both teams to scoreYes46.2%
No53.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.1%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)61.1%
Handicap -1Inter Turku win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss65.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.2%
1-010.9%

Inter Turku vs KuPS stats

Inter Turku and KuPS recent form

newest first
Inter Turku LDDWDD
KuPS WLDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Inter Turku and KuPS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Turku record

  • They have won 11 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS record

  • They have won 12 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

Inter Turku vs KuPS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Inter Turku wins 4Draws 5KuPS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-30KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-1
2025-11-02KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga3-2
2025-10-05Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga0-3
2025-08-17KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga2-1
2025-04-05Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-09-21Inter TurkuKuPSSuomen Cup1-2
2024-09-01KuPSInter TurkuVeikkausliiga1-2
2024-04-19Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-03-30Inter TurkuKuPSLeague Cup2-2
2023-09-23Inter TurkuKuPSVeikkausliiga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Inter Turku vs KuPS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 28.5%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.28 3.25 2.92
1xBet 2.32 3.32 2.99
Bet365 2.30 3.25 2.90
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 2.90
Betano 2.32 3.30 2.95
Betfair 2.30 3.10 2.80
Dafabet 2.35 3.35 3.05
Marathonbet 2.30 3.32 2.98
Pinnacle 2.44 3.22 3.21
SBO 2.22 3.13 2.94
Superbet 2.32 3.30 3.00
Unibet 2.45 3.30 2.80
William Hill 2.30 3.00 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.10
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 2.95 ▼ -0.14

10 snapshots recorded, from .