VPS
vs
Lahti
0 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | A. Lindholm | ||
| 46′ | A. RaisanenX. Odhiambo | ||
| 67′ | K. Kouassivi-BenissanJ. Vahtera | ||
| 67′ | S. LindholmH. Salomaa | ||
| 74′ | E. AnderssonO. Koskinen | ||
| 79′ | P. LimaD. Terrnava | ||
| 83′ | M. SarrJ. Ojanen | ||
| 84′ | Armend Kabashi | ||
| 89′ | Aaron Lindholm |
VPS vs Lahti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VPS vs Lahti
| Probability | VPS | Draw | Lahti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 33.0% | 35.5% |
| Market | 44.1% | 26.5% | 29.4% |
| Final | 41.0% | 28.1% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -12.5% | +6.5% | +6.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VPS and Lahti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.06
VPS and Lahti attack and defence ratings
VPS
Lahti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VPS vs Lahti: result vs prediction
VPS 0 – 1 Lahti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
VPS vs Lahti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 41.0% | 2.44 | -12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 41.0% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Lahti | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | VPS win | 12.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 68.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 0-1 | 12.2% |
VPS vs Lahti stats
VPS and Lahti recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VPS and Lahti going into this match
VPS record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
Lahti record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
VPS vs Lahti head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Lahti | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-25 | Lahti | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2024-05-03 | VPS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-18 | Lahti | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-05 | VPS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-28 | Lahti | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-20 | VPS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 2-3 |
| 2022-04-08 | Lahti | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-5 |
| 2019-09-20 | VPS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
| 2019-07-20 | VPS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
VPS vs Lahti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 26.5%, away 29.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.08 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.54 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.55 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.54 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.63 | 3.27 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.26 | 3.06 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.20 |
| Unibet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .