Mariehamn
vs
FF Jaro
2 – 0 Full time
| 43′ | Adam Larsson | ||
| 49′ | Kaius Hardén | ||
| 52′ | Jesper Svenungsen Skau | ||
| 60′ | V. VuorinenJ. Remesaho | ||
| 62′ | A. Larsson | ||
| 69′ | K. HardenA. Bjonback | ||
| 73′ | A. LarssonT. Jakobsen | ||
| 75′ | T. Jakobsen | ||
| 76′ | O. Kass KawoV. Lofs | ||
| 76′ | A. VidjeskogJ. Vikstrom | ||
| 77′ | Jonathan Svedberg | ||
| 77′ | Valde Lofs | ||
| 80′ | V. WidlundM. Hyvonen | ||
| 80′ | A. BergvikA. Stroud |
Mariehamn vs FF Jaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mariehamn vs FF Jaro
| Probability | Mariehamn | Draw | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.1% | 27.3% | 28.6% |
| Market | 42.5% | 26.5% | 31.1% |
| Final | 42.9% | 26.7% | 30.5% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +0.8% | -2.5% |
Why Mariehamn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mariehamn and FF Jaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.79
Mariehamn and FF Jaro attack and defence ratings
Mariehamn
FF Jaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mariehamn vs FF Jaro: result vs prediction
Mariehamn 2 – 0 FF Jaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mariehamn vs FF Jaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mariehamn | 42.9% | 2.33 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mariehamn | 42.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| FF Jaro | 30.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mariehamn win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Mariehamn vs FF Jaro stats
Mariehamn and FF Jaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mariehamn and FF Jaro going into this match
Mariehamn record
- They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FF Jaro record
- They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Mariehamn vs FF Jaro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | FF Jaro | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-28 | FF Jaro | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 2-3 |
| 2025-07-06 | FF Jaro | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Mariehamn | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2015-09-17 | FF Jaro | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2015-07-19 | Mariehamn | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 4-3 |
| 2015-04-12 | FF Jaro | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2014-10-18 | FF Jaro | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2014-06-15 | Mariehamn | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 4-2 |
| 2014-04-27 | Mariehamn | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mariehamn vs FF Jaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 26.5%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.50 | 2.98 |
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.99 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.60 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.87 | 3.05 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.26 | 2.89 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.35 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .