Ilves
vs
FF Jaro
2 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Adam Vidjeskog | ||
| 17′ | Jim Myrevik | ||
| 55′ | O. MultalaY. Raap | ||
| 68′ | L. Ala-MyllymakiY. Sacko | ||
| 68′ | J. KiloS. Baranov | ||
| 68′ | A. VidjeskogO. Kass Kawo | ||
| 68′ | L. ZetterstromM. Pedersen | ||
| 74′ | T. Hytonen | ||
| 77′ | Oliver Kass Kawo | ||
| 77′ | J. VikstromV. Vuorinen | ||
| 83′ | M. StjopinT. Miettunen | ||
| 83′ | T. HytonenE. Tamminen | ||
| 84′ | E. Tamminen | ||
| 88′ | A. BjonbackV. Lofs |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 549 | Accurate passes | 272 |
Ilves vs FF Jaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ilves vs FF Jaro
| Probability | Ilves | Draw | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 27.9% | 16.3% |
| Market | 57.9% | 23.1% | 19.0% |
| Final | 57.4% | 24.3% | 18.3% |
| Edge | -2.1% | +4.8% | -2.7% |
Why Ilves
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.72.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ilves and FF Jaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Ilves and FF Jaro attack and defence ratings
Ilves
FF Jaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ilves vs FF Jaro: result vs prediction
Ilves 2 – 0 FF Jaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Relegation Group - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ilves vs FF Jaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ilves | 57.4% | 1.74 | -2.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ilves | 57.4% |
| Draw | 24.3% | |
| FF Jaro | 18.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ilves win | 30.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.6% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.8% |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | |
| 2-0 | 12.3% |
Ilves vs FF Jaro stats
Ilves and FF Jaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ilves and FF Jaro going into this match
Ilves record
- They have won 7 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FF Jaro record
- They have won 3 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Ilves vs FF Jaro head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | FF Jaro | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ilves | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 5-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Ilves | FF Jaro | League Cup | 4-2 |
| 2025-07-20 | FF Jaro | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-12 | Ilves | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Ilves | FF Jaro | League Cup | 4-0 |
| 2015-08-16 | Ilves | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2015-06-16 | FF Jaro | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 3-0 |
| 2015-04-29 | FF Jaro | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ilves vs FF Jaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 23.1%, away 19.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 4.15 | 4.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.63 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 4.15 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 4.38 | 5.02 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.89 | 4.70 |
| Superbet | 1.61 | 4.10 | 4.85 |
| Unibet | 1.55 | 4.10 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .