Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Relegation Group - 24

FF Jaro vs SJK

1 – 1 Full time

27′Ville Vuorinen
45′K. NwanegeKelwin Souza do Nascimento
45′Aapo BoströmSalim Giabo Yussif
63′Oskari VäistöElias Mastokangas
63′Gergő Kocsis
70′Leon VesterbackaApostolos Vellios
70′Elias Mastokangas
73′Abdi SabriyeJoas Vikstrom
74′Salim Giabo YussifAziz Cisse
80′Eze Onuoha
84′Aziz Cisse
88′Ville VuorinenOliver Isak Kass Kawo
90′F. Constantini

Project Liv Arena, JakobstadReferee: Eerik Hyoty, Finland

FF Jaro 26%
Draw 27%
SJK 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 3
48 Possession % 52
6 Corners 5
12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 5
2 Saves 2
202 Accurate passes 364

FF Jaro vs SJK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FF Jaro vs SJK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFF JaroDrawSJK
Model21.2%30.6%48.2%
Market27.2%26.5%46.3%
Final25.7%27.5%46.8%
Edge-6.0%+4.1%+1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why SJK

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.35 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FF Jaro ↓ / SJK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 14% 11% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

FF Jaro and SJK expected goals

FF Jaro 0.81
SJK 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.16

FF Jaro and SJK attack and defence ratings

FF Jaro

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 1.26 +26%

SJK

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FF Jaro vs SJK: result vs prediction

FF Jaro 1 – 1 SJK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 24 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

FF Jaro vs SJK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SJK 46.8% 2.14 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.8% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FF Jaro25.7%
Draw27.5%
SJK46.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.6%
Under 2.563.4%
Both teams to scoreYes42.3%
No57.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.2%
12 (either side)72.5%
X2 (draw or away)74.3%
Handicap -1SJK win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.5%
Loss51.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.3%
1-113.9%
0-012.8%

FF Jaro vs SJK stats

FF Jaro and SJK recent form

newest first
FF Jaro LLLLLL
SJK DDLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FF Jaro and SJK going into this match

league record before kick-off

FF Jaro record

  • They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

SJK record

  • They have won 4 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 23 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FF Jaro vs SJK head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FF Jaro wins 2Draws 6SJK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-24FF JaroSJKVeikkausliiga2-1
2026-04-24SJKFF JaroVeikkausliiga1-1
2026-03-18SJKFF JaroFriendlies Clubs2-1
2026-01-24SJKFF JaroLeague Cup1-2
2025-08-18FF JaroSJKVeikkausliiga0-4
2025-06-14SJKFF JaroVeikkausliiga3-1
2025-03-29SJKFF JaroFriendlies Clubs1-1
2025-02-01FF JaroSJKLeague Cup1-2
2024-01-20FF JaroSJKFriendlies Clubs0-2
2015-10-25SJKFF JaroVeikkausliiga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FF Jaro vs SJK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 26.3%, away 46.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.50 2.06
1xBet 3.50 3.52 2.01
888Sport 3.30 3.40 2.00
Bet365 3.25 3.50 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.50 1.95
Betano 3.45 3.45 2.05
Betfair 3.25 3.50 1.95
Dafabet 3.35 3.55 2.12
Marathonbet 3.50 3.52 1.99
Pinnacle 3.64 3.67 2.03
SBO 3.16 3.24 1.99
Superbet 3.30 3.45 2.10
Unibet 3.30 3.50 1.96
William Hill 3.40 3.30 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▲ +0.22
X 3.50 ▼ -0.15
2 2.00 ▲ +0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .