Veikkausliiga
·
Full time
·Relegation Group - 25
Lahti
vs
FF Jaro
1 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | Martim Ferreira | ||
| 35′ | Nicolas Gianini Dantas | ||
| 45′ | Abdi SabriyeJonathan Lawson | ||
| 62′ | Mats Pedersen | ||
| 67′ | Romaric Yapi | ||
| 67′ | Gergő Kocsis | ||
| 71′ | Jesper Svenungsen Skau | ||
| 73′ | Otso KoskinenDaniel Heikkinen | ||
| 77′ | Ville VuorinenValde Löfs | ||
| 79′ | Aaron LindholmAmir Belabid | ||
| 79′ | Tofol MontielJustus Ojanen | ||
| 80′ | Martim FerreiraArmend Kabashi | ||
| 85′ | Gergő KocsisKaius Hardén | ||
| 86′ | Jim MyrevikOliver Isak Kass Kawo | ||
| 86′ | Nicolas Gianini DantasVaino Vehkonen | ||
| 86′ | Senne Vits | ||
| 86′ | Johan Brunell | ||
| 89′ | Valde Löfs | ||
| 90′ | Romaric Yapi |
Lahti
60%
Draw
24%
FF Jaro
16%
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 516 | Accurate passes | 154 |
Lahti vs FF Jaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lahti vs FF Jaro
| Probability | Lahti | Draw | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.4% | 25.8% | 11.8% |
| Market | 58.9% | 23.1% | 18.0% |
| Final | 59.8% | 23.8% | 16.4% |
| Edge | +3.5% | +2.7% | -6.1% |
Why Lahti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Lahti below the model: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
67%
3+ goals
39%
No goals
12%
Lahti and FF Jaro expected goals
Lahti
1.66
FF Jaro
0.59
Total expected goals: 2.25
Lahti and FF Jaro attack and defence ratings
Lahti
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
0.74 -26%
FF Jaro
Attack
0.57 -43%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lahti vs FF Jaro: result vs prediction
Lahti 1 – 1 FF Jaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Relegation Group - 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lahti vs FF Jaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lahti | 59.8% | 1.67 | +3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lahti | 59.8% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| FF Jaro | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.1% |
| No | 62.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lahti win | 35.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 37.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.5% |
| 2-0 | 14.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
Lahti vs FF Jaro stats
Lahti and FF Jaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lahti and FF Jaro going into this match
Lahti record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FF Jaro record
- They have won 3 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Lahti vs FF Jaro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5Lahti wins
3Draws
2FF Jaro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Lahti | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-04 | FF Jaro | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Lahti | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-23 | FF Jaro | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 2-0 |
| 2015-10-18 | FF Jaro | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2015-08-02 | Lahti | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2015-05-14 | FF Jaro | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2014-09-28 | FF Jaro | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 0-4 |
| 2014-06-24 | Lahti | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2014-04-23 | FF Jaro | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lahti vs FF Jaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.9%, draw 23.1%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 4.20 | 5.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 4.05 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.29 | 5.19 |
| SBO | 1.55 | 3.78 | 5.03 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.57 ▲ +0.01
X
4.00 ▲ +0.05
2
5.15 ▲ +0.12
13 snapshots recorded, from .