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Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Relegation Group - 25

Turku PS vs Ilves

0 – 3 Full time

4′Abdoulie Tamba
24′Teemu Hytönen
60′Yiandro RaapLauri Ala-Myllymäki
60′Tatu MiettunenMatias Rale
60′Maksim StjopinElias Tamminen
66′Timo Zaal
67′Elias Tamminen
72′Jesse KiloStanislav Baranov
72′Elmer VauhkonenSamuel Anini Jr.
84′Matej HradeckyAtte Sihvonen
84′Tomi VakipartaJoel Ahen
86′Teemu HytönenHamidou Coulibaly
87′Sauli Väisänen
88′Pau Juvanteny
90′Stanislav Baranov

Veritas Stadium, TurkuReferee: Kalle Nummela

Turku PS 35%
Draw 28%
Ilves 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
59 Possession % 41
9 Corners 3
13 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 2
3 Saves 8
374 Accurate passes 265

Turku PS vs Ilves overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Turku PS vs Ilves

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTurku PSDrawIlves
Model31.1%35.2%33.7%
Market36.6%26.2%37.2%
Final35.2%28.4%36.3%
Edge-5.5%+9.1%-3.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Ilves

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Turku PS ↓ / Ilves → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Turku PS and Ilves expected goals

Turku PS 0.89
Ilves 0.94

Total expected goals: 1.83

Turku PS and Ilves attack and defence ratings

Turku PS

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Ilves

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Turku PS vs Ilves: result vs prediction

Turku PS 0 – 3 Ilves

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Relegation Group - 25 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

Turku PS vs Ilves markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ilves 36.3% 2.75 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.2% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 62.7% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.3% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Turku PS35.2%
Draw28.4%
Ilves36.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.8%
Under 2.572.2%
Both teams to scoreYes37.3%
No62.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.7%
12 (either side)71.6%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Ilves win12.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss66.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.4%
1-114.8%
0-113.7%

Turku PS vs Ilves stats

Turku PS and Ilves recent form

newest first
Turku PS LDDDWD
Ilves WWLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Turku PS and Ilves going into this match

league record before kick-off

Turku PS record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.

Ilves record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Turku PS vs Ilves head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Turku PS wins 0Draws 10Ilves wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-20Turku PSIlvesVeikkausliiga1-3
2026-06-13IlvesTurku PSVeikkausliiga1-0
2026-05-27IlvesTurku PSSuomen Cup1-0
2023-04-26Turku PSIlvesSuomen Cup0-2
2023-03-25IlvesTurku PSFriendlies Clubs2-0
2020-09-27IlvesTurku PSVeikkausliiga4-0
2020-07-07Turku PSIlvesVeikkausliiga0-1
2018-08-25IlvesTurku PSVeikkausliiga2-0
2018-07-30Turku PSIlvesVeikkausliiga1-3
2018-05-26IlvesTurku PSVeikkausliiga2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Turku PS vs Ilves odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 26.2%, away 37.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.59 3.54 2.46
Bet365 2.50 3.50 2.45
BetVictor 2.50 3.50 2.45
Betano 2.60 3.45 2.52
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.45
Marathonbet 2.59 3.54 2.46
Pinnacle 2.63 3.74 2.59
SBO 2.41 3.18 2.37
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.08
X 3.50 ▼ -0.10
2 2.46 ▼ -0.06

13 snapshots recorded, from .