SJK
vs
Mariehamn
2 – 1 Full time
| 36′ | Arvid Bergvik | ||
| 45′ | Leon VesterbackaAziz Cisse | ||
| 45′ | Elias MastokangasAapo Boström | ||
| 57′ | Ludvig Richtner | ||
| 63′ | Armaan WilsonJeremiah Streng | ||
| 63′ | Amidou TraoreCaio Araújo | ||
| 64′ | Kelwin Souza do Nascimento | ||
| 70′ | Adam Stroud | ||
| 71′ | Adam StroudMarlo Hyvonen | ||
| 75′ | Jeremiah Streng | ||
| 77′ | Roope PaunioJohannes Viitala | ||
| 78′ | Anttoni HuttunenAaro Soiniemi | ||
| 79′ | Kelvin Pires | ||
| 80′ | Foster gyamfi | ||
| 82′ | Arvid BergvikTuomas Koivisto | ||
| 84′ | Caio Araújo | ||
| 85′ | Aziz Cisse | ||
| 87′ | Aapo Boström |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 403 | Accurate passes | 240 |
SJK vs Mariehamn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SJK vs Mariehamn
| Probability | SJK | Draw | Mariehamn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.2% | 30.6% | 27.2% |
| Market | 52.4% | 25.1% | 22.5% |
| Final | 49.9% | 26.5% | 23.7% |
| Edge | -10.2% | +5.6% | +4.7% |
Why SJK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.99.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SJK and Mariehamn expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
SJK and Mariehamn attack and defence ratings
SJK
Mariehamn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SJK vs Mariehamn: result vs prediction
SJK 2 – 1 Mariehamn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Relegation Group - 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
SJK vs Mariehamn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SJK | 49.9% | 2.01 | -10.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SJK | 49.9% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Mariehamn | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.0% |
| No | 53.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SJK win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
SJK vs Mariehamn stats
SJK and Mariehamn recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SJK and Mariehamn going into this match
SJK record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mariehamn record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SJK vs Mariehamn head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Mariehamn | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-10 | SJK | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 3-0 |
| 2025-06-28 | SJK | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Mariehamn | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
| 2024-07-21 | Mariehamn | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 0-4 |
| 2024-05-31 | SJK | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-16 | SJK | Mariehamn | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | SJK | Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga | 3-2 |
| 2023-06-11 | Mariehamn | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-18 | SJK | Mariehamn | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SJK vs Mariehamn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 25.1%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.68 | 4.23 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.70 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.68 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.85 | 4.36 |
| SBO | 1.77 | 3.53 | 3.88 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .