SJK
vs
Lahti
1 – 0 Full time
SJK vs Lahti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SJK vs Lahti
| Probability | SJK | Draw | Lahti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.5% | 35.0% | 34.5% |
| Market | 34.7% | 26.3% | 39.0% |
| Final | 33.6% | 28.5% | 37.9% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +8.7% | -4.5% |
Why Lahti
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SJK and Lahti expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.85
SJK and Lahti attack and defence ratings
SJK
Lahti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SJK vs Lahti: result vs prediction
SJK 1 – 0 Lahti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Relegation Group - 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
SJK vs Lahti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lahti | 37.9% | 2.64 | -4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SJK | 33.6% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Lahti | 37.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lahti win | 13.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 65.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.8% |
SJK vs Lahti stats
SJK and Lahti recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SJK and Lahti going into this match
SJK record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lahti record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SJK vs Lahti head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | SJK | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lahti | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 2-3 |
| 2024-07-27 | SJK | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 5-5 |
| 2024-05-27 | Lahti | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 0-4 |
| 2023-07-16 | Lahti | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-22 | SJK | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-24 | Lahti | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 1-3 |
| 2022-05-07 | SJK | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
| 2021-09-26 | SJK | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 4-1 |
| 2021-07-04 | Lahti | SJK | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SJK vs Lahti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 26.3%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.73 | 3.62 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.35 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.50 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.44 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.62 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.62 | 2.49 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.33 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
17 snapshots recorded, from .