Turku PS
vs
FF Jaro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Turku PS
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Turku PS vs FF Jaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Turku PS vs FF Jaro
| Probability | Turku PS | Draw | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 31.2% | 18.6% |
| Market | 45.3% | 26.9% | 27.8% |
| Final | 46.5% | 28.0% | 25.5% |
| Edge | +4.9% | +4.3% | -9.2% |
Why Turku PS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Turku PS below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Turku PS vs FF Jaro match preview
Turku PS and FF Jaro are set to face off in the Veikkausliiga on October 10, 2026. Turku PS holds a 47% probability of winning, while FF Jaro has a 26% chance, with a 28% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Turku PS, which has a 16% probability. Expected goals suggest Turku PS will score 1.31, compared to FF Jaro's 0.70.
In terms of recent form, Turku PS has recorded two losses, three draws, and one win in their last six matches, while FF Jaro has struggled with six games without a win, including five losses and one draw. Historically, in their last two encounters, Turku PS has one win and one draw against FF Jaro, who has yet to secure a victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Turku PS and FF Jaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Turku PS and FF Jaro attack and defence ratings
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Turku PS vs FF Jaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turku PS | 46.5% | 2.15 | +4.9% | 2.12 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turku PS | 46.5% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| FF Jaro | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Turku PS win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Turku PS vs FF Jaro stats
Turku PS and FF Jaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Turku PS and FF Jaro season so far
Turku PS record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
FF Jaro record
- They have won 3 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Turku PS vs FF Jaro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-02 | FF Jaro | Turku PS | Veikkausliiga | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-03 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga | 3-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | FF Jaro | Turku PS | Ykkösliiga | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-03 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykköscup | 0-3 |
| 2023-07-14 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 4-0 |
| 2023-05-07 | FF Jaro | Turku PS | Ykkönen | 3-3 |
| 2022-10-17 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 4-0 |
| 2022-09-24 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Turku PS vs FF Jaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.3%, draw 26.9%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.59 | 3.36 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.02 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .