Turku PS
vs
FF Jaro
0 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | Fabian Ostigard Ness | ||
| 56′ | Jesper Svenungsen Skau | ||
| 62′ | Joel AhenLuke Ivanovic | ||
| 62′ | Samuel Anini Jr.Nils Veinbergs | ||
| 63′ | Jim Myrevik | ||
| 66′ | Matej Hradecky | ||
| 75′ | Gergő Kocsis | ||
| 76′ | Matej HradeckyAtte Sihvonen | ||
| 80′ | Jim MyrevikAdam Vidjeskog | ||
| 90′ | Atte Sihvonen | ||
| 90′ | Timo Zaal | ||
| 90′ | Ville VuorinenValde Löfs |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 476 | Accurate passes | 165 |
Turku PS vs FF Jaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Turku PS vs FF Jaro
| Probability | Turku PS | Draw | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.3% | 31.2% | 18.5% |
| Market | 44.7% | 26.9% | 28.4% |
| Final | 46.1% | 28.0% | 25.9% |
| Edge | +1.4% | +1.1% | -2.5% |
Why Turku PS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Turku PS and FF Jaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Turku PS and FF Jaro attack and defence ratings
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Turku PS vs FF Jaro: result vs prediction
Turku PS 0 – 1 FF Jaro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Relegation Group - 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Turku PS vs FF Jaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turku PS | 46.1% | 2.17 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Turku PS | 46.1% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| FF Jaro | 25.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.0% |
| No | 62.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Turku PS win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 49.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Turku PS vs FF Jaro stats
Turku PS and FF Jaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Turku PS and FF Jaro going into this match
Turku PS record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
FF Jaro record
- They have won 3 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Turku PS vs FF Jaro head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Veikkausliiga | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-02 | FF Jaro | Turku PS | Veikkausliiga | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-03 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga | 3-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | FF Jaro | Turku PS | Ykkösliiga | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-13 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga | 0-2 |
| 2024-02-03 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykköscup | 0-3 |
| 2023-07-14 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 4-0 |
| 2023-05-07 | FF Jaro | Turku PS | Ykkönen | 3-3 |
| 2022-10-17 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 4-0 |
| 2022-09-24 | Turku PS | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Turku PS vs FF Jaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 26.9%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.50 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.55 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.50 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.71 | 3.31 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 3.17 | 3.06 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .