Veikkausliiga
·
Full time
·Relegation Group - 27
Lahti
vs
Turku PS
5 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Oscar Häggström | ||
| 19′ | Justus OjanenOtso Koskinen | ||
| 22′ | Martim Ferreira | ||
| 26′ | Charlemagne Azongnitode | ||
| 29′ | Amir Belabid | ||
| 34′ | Otso Koskinen | ||
| 56′ | Amir Belabid | ||
| 60′ | Otso Koskinen | ||
| 63′ | Marius KonkkolaJoel Ahen | ||
| 63′ | Tomi VakipartaAtte Sihvonen | ||
| 63′ | Abdoulie TambaEetu Turkki | ||
| 75′ | Erik AnderssonArmend Kabashi | ||
| 75′ | Daniel HeikkinenJoel Lehtonen | ||
| 75′ | Tofol MontielNeemias Benavenuto Barbosa | ||
| 81′ | José MüllerAhmed Babiker | ||
| 82′ | Armend Kabashi | ||
| 90′ | Joel Lehtonen |
Lahti
52%
Draw
27%
Turku PS
21%
Match stats
| 28 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 9 | Corners | 0 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 9 |
| 448 | Accurate passes | 189 |
Lahti vs Turku PS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lahti vs Turku PS
| Probability | Lahti | Draw | Turku PS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 36.2% | 22.1% |
| Market | 55.3% | 23.9% | 20.7% |
| Final | 51.9% | 27.0% | 21.1% |
| Edge | -13.7% | +12.2% | +1.4% |
Why Lahti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
80%
2+ goals
51%
3+ goals
23%
No goals
20%
Lahti and Turku PS expected goals
Lahti
1.01
Turku PS
0.66
Total expected goals: 1.67
Lahti and Turku PS attack and defence ratings
Lahti
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.73 -27%
Turku PS
Attack
0.66 -34%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lahti vs Turku PS: result vs prediction
Lahti 5 – 1 Turku PS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Relegation Group - 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lahti vs Turku PS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lahti | 51.9% | 1.93 | -13.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lahti | 51.9% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Turku PS | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.9% |
| No | 68.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Lahti win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.2% |
| 1-0 | 17.8% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Lahti vs Turku PS stats
Lahti and Turku PS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lahti and Turku PS going into this match
Lahti record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Turku PS record
- They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lahti vs Turku PS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Lahti wins
5Draws
3Turku PS wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Lahti | Turku PS | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Turku PS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Lahti | Turku PS | League Cup | 5-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Turku PS | Lahti | Ykkösliiga | 3-3 |
| 2025-07-14 | Lahti | Turku PS | Ykkösliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-21 | Turku PS | Lahti | Ykkösliiga | 2-2 |
| 2025-03-29 | Turku PS | Lahti | Ykköscup | 3-2 |
| 2020-09-17 | Lahti | Turku PS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2020-07-25 | Turku PS | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-3 |
| 2018-09-30 | Lahti | Turku PS | Veikkausliiga | 2-5 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lahti vs Turku PS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 23.8%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.96 | 4.46 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.85 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.72 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.96 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74 | 4.07 | 4.67 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.55 | 4.08 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.68 ▼ -0.05
X
3.88 ▲ +0.04
2
4.48 ▲ +0.23
13 snapshots recorded, from .