Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Relegation Group - 27

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn

1 – 1 Full time

1′Tuomas Koivisto
64′Ville Vuorinen
69′Viktor WidlundSebastian Dahlström
69′Adam LarssonJelle van der Heyden
75′Kaius HardénAdam Vidjeskog
79′Gergő Kocsis
84′Ville VuorinenJoni Remesaho
84′Jonathan LawsonLinus Zetterstrom
84′Jim MyrevikValde Löfs

Project Liv Arena, PietarsaariReferee: Mohammad Al-Emara

FF Jaro 39%
Draw 29%
Mariehamn 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 2
48 Possession % 52
6 Corners 6
7 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
2 Saves 3
186 Accurate passes 549

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FF Jaro vs Mariehamn

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFF JaroDrawMariehamn
Model29.1%31.8%39.0%
Market41.9%27.6%30.5%
Final38.7%28.7%32.6%
Edge-12.8%+4.2%+8.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FF Jaro ↓ / Mariehamn → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 12% 8% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

FF Jaro and Mariehamn expected goals

FF Jaro 0.99
Mariehamn 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.17

FF Jaro and Mariehamn attack and defence ratings

FF Jaro

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Mariehamn

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn: result vs prediction

FF Jaro 1 – 1 Mariehamn

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 27 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FF Jaro 38.7% 2.58 -12.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.1% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.9% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FF Jaro38.7%
Draw28.7%
Mariehamn32.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.4%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.3%
Handicap -1FF Jaro win11.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss70.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.7%
0-112.2%

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn stats

FF Jaro and Mariehamn recent form

newest first
FF Jaro WDDLLL
Mariehamn DLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FF Jaro and Mariehamn going into this match

league record before kick-off

FF Jaro record

  • They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Mariehamn record

  • They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FF Jaro wins 3Draws 4Mariehamn wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-31MariehamnFF JaroVeikkausliiga2-0
2026-05-23FF JaroMariehamnVeikkausliiga3-0
2025-09-28FF JaroMariehamnVeikkausliiga2-3
2025-07-06FF JaroMariehamnVeikkausliiga1-1
2025-04-05MariehamnFF JaroVeikkausliiga0-2
2015-09-17FF JaroMariehamnVeikkausliiga0-0
2015-07-19MariehamnFF JaroVeikkausliiga4-3
2015-04-12FF JaroMariehamnVeikkausliiga1-1
2014-10-18FF JaroMariehamnVeikkausliiga1-0
2014-06-15MariehamnFF JaroVeikkausliiga4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FF Jaro vs Mariehamn odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 27.4%, away 30.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.23 3.34 3.11
Bet365 2.20 3.40 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 2.90
Betano 2.25 3.40 3.05
Betfair 2.15 3.40 2.90
Dafabet 2.25 3.50 3.15
Marathonbet 2.21 3.34 3.10
Pinnacle 2.34 3.54 3.10
SBO 2.08 3.10 2.87
William Hill 2.25 3.20 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.22 ▼ -0.02
X 3.37 ▲ +0.05
2 3.05 ▼ -0.03

13 snapshots recorded, from .