PK-35
vs
FF Jaro
Garuda Lions Prediction: PK-35
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
PK-35 vs FF Jaro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PK-35 vs FF Jaro
| Probability | PK-35 | Draw | FF Jaro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.4% | 29.0% | 20.7% |
| Market | 34.3% | 30.9% | 34.9% |
| Final | 38.3% | 30.4% | 31.3% |
| Edge | +16.1% | -1.9% | -14.2% |
Why PK-35
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.86.
- The market prices PK-35 below the model: +16.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
PK-35 vs FF Jaro match preview
PK-35 faces FF Jaro in their upcoming Veikkausliiga match, with probabilities suggesting a 38% chance of a PK-35 victory, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 31% likelihood of an FF Jaro win. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of PK-35, with an expected goals tally of 1.47 for PK-35 and 0.86 for FF Jaro.
FF Jaro's recent form shows a series of draws and losses, with their last five matches resulting in D-W-D-D-L-L. In head-to-head encounters, PK-35 has secured 2 wins, while FF Jaro has claimed 4 victories, alongside 2 draws in their last 8 meetings. The model indicates a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PK-35 and FF Jaro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
PK-35 and FF Jaro attack and defence ratings
PK-35
FF Jaro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Before and after this match
PK-35 vs FF Jaro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PK-35 | 38.3% | 2.61 | +16.1% | 2.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PK-35 | 38.3% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| FF Jaro | 31.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | PK-35 win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
PK-35 vs FF Jaro stats
PK-35 and FF Jaro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PK-35 and FF Jaro season so far
FF Jaro record
- They have won 4 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
PK-35 vs FF Jaro head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | PK-35 | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-17 | PK-35 | FF Jaro | Ykkösliiga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-19 | FF Jaro | PK-35 | Ykkösliiga | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-16 | PK-35 | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 0-4 |
| 2022-05-15 | FF Jaro | PK-35 | Ykkönen | 4-0 |
| 2022-03-13 | PK-35 | FF Jaro | Ykköscup | 0-0 |
| 2021-08-28 | PK-35 | FF Jaro | Ykkönen | 2-1 |
| 2021-06-20 | FF Jaro | PK-35 | Ykkönen | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PK-35 vs FF Jaro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.3%, draw 30.9%, away 34.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.69 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.69 |
| Pinnacle | 2.73 | 3.04 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .