Veikkausliiga
·
Full time
·Relegation Group - 24
Ilves
vs
Lahti
3 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Nicolas Gianini Dantas | ||
| 52′ | Justus Ojanen | ||
| 65′ | Anton PopovitchYacouba Sacko | ||
| 65′ | Erik AnderssonOtso Koskinen | ||
| 65′ | Yiandro RaapLauri Ala-Myllymäki | ||
| 65′ | Oskari MultalaJesse Kilo | ||
| 73′ | Momodou SarrAmir Belabid | ||
| 73′ | Justus OjanenMartim Ferreira | ||
| 74′ | Martim Ferreira | ||
| 78′ | Yohan Cassubie | ||
| 80′ | Teemu Hytönen | ||
| 80′ | Aaron LindholmArmend Kabashi | ||
| 80′ | Matias RaleTatu Miettunen | ||
| 80′ | Teemu HytönenStanislav Baranov | ||
| 82′ | Lauri Ala-Myllymäki | ||
| 90′ | Stanislav Baranov |
Ilves
39%
Draw
29%
Lahti
32%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 27 | Possession % | 73 |
| 0 | Corners | 6 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 289 | Accurate passes | 498 |
Ilves vs Lahti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ilves vs Lahti
| Probability | Ilves | Draw | Lahti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 36.1% | 38.1% |
| Market | 43.6% | 26.0% | 30.4% |
| Final | 39.1% | 28.5% | 32.3% |
| Edge | -17.7% | +10.1% | +7.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
81%
2+ goals
53%
3+ goals
25%
No goals
19%
Ilves and Lahti expected goals
Ilves
0.75
Lahti
0.97
Total expected goals: 1.72
Ilves and Lahti attack and defence ratings
Ilves
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.75 -25%
Lahti
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
0.58 -42%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ilves vs Lahti: result vs prediction
Ilves 3 – 1 Lahti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Relegation Group - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ilves vs Lahti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ilves | 39.1% | 2.55 | -17.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ilves | 39.1% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Lahti | 32.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.1% |
| No | 65.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ilves win | 8.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 74.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.2% |
| 0-1 | 16.0% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Ilves vs Lahti stats
Ilves and Lahti recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ilves and Lahti going into this match
Ilves record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 7 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lahti record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 4 penalties (25%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ilves vs Lahti head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
4Ilves wins
3Draws
2Lahti wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Ilves | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Ilves | Lahti | Suomen Cup | 5-2 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lahti | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 5-0 |
| 2024-06-29 | Lahti | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Ilves | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 0-0 |
| 2023-10-21 | Lahti | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 1-5 |
| 2023-09-03 | Lahti | Ilves | Veikkausliiga | 3-2 |
| 2023-06-03 | Ilves | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-09 | Ilves | Lahti | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ilves vs Lahti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.8%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.18 | 3.60 | 2.84 |
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.08 |
| 888Sport | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.45 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.24 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.60 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.77 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.16 | 3.28 | 2.75 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.15 ▼ -0.19
X
3.60 ▲ +0.10
2
3.08 ▲ +0.48
13 snapshots recorded, from .