Gnistan
vs
Turku PS
1 – 1 Full time
| 51′ | Bogdan Milovanov | ||
| 59′ | Abdoulie Tamba | ||
| 65′ | Pau Juvanteny | ||
| 66′ | S. YlatupaA. Atarah | ||
| 71′ | R. EremenkoJ. Latonen | ||
| 76′ | A. TambaN. Talo | ||
| 76′ | O. HaggstromM. Kauppila | ||
| 82′ | A. AkinyemiD. Perez | ||
| 82′ | P. JuvantenyL. Ikonen | ||
| 82′ | E. VauhkonenS. Anini | ||
| 84′ | A. Muzaci | ||
| 90′ | J. Latonen |
Gnistan vs Turku PS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gnistan vs Turku PS
| Probability | Gnistan | Draw | Turku PS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.3% | 27.9% | 27.8% |
| Market | 47.9% | 25.0% | 27.1% |
| Final | 47.0% | 25.7% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +2.9% | +0.7% |
Why Gnistan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gnistan and Turku PS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Gnistan and Turku PS attack and defence ratings
Gnistan
Turku PS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gnistan vs Turku PS: result vs prediction
Gnistan 1 – 1 Turku PS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gnistan vs Turku PS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gnistan | 47.0% | 2.13 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gnistan | 47.0% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Turku PS | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gnistan win | 22.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Gnistan vs Turku PS stats
Gnistan and Turku PS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gnistan and Turku PS going into this match
Gnistan record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Turku PS record
- They have won 8 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 23 matches.
Gnistan vs Turku PS head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Turku PS | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turku PS | Gnistan | League Cup | 0-2 |
| 2024-03-16 | Turku PS | Gnistan | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-17 | Gnistan | Turku PS | Ykkönen | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-23 | Gnistan | Turku PS | Ykkönen | 0-3 |
| 2023-05-13 | Turku PS | Gnistan | Ykkönen | 0-2 |
| 2022-09-03 | Turku PS | Gnistan | Ykkönen | 5-0 |
| 2022-06-22 | Gnistan | Turku PS | Ykkönen | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-02 | Gnistan | Turku PS | Ykkönen | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gnistan vs Turku PS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.9%, draw 25.0%, away 27.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.88 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 3.82 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.85 | 3.55 |
| Marathonbet | 1.93 | 3.82 | 3.42 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 4.00 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 1.92 | 3.53 | 3.28 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.45 |
| Unibet | 1.81 | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .