VPS
vs
AC Oulu
1 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | K. Kouassivi-Benissan | ||
| 46′ | J. VahteraX. Odhiambo | ||
| 58′ | N. JokelainenL. Ghezali | ||
| 59′ | Yassin Daoussi | ||
| 66′ | Y. DaoussiA. Raisanen | ||
| 66′ | S. LindholmC. Holmelund | ||
| 74′ | S. SilanderO. Kemppainen | ||
| 74′ | R. KarjalainenC. Triana | ||
| 78′ | Markus Arsalo | ||
| 79′ | Lassana Mané | ||
| 85′ | P. LimaR. Simpson | ||
| 85′ | M. ArsaloJ. Paananen | ||
| 89′ | VPSO. Ogunniyi | ||
| 90′ | Casper Holmelund | ||
| 90′ | Kevin Kouassivi-Benissan |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 238 | Accurate passes | 378 |
VPS vs AC Oulu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VPS vs AC Oulu
| Probability | VPS | Draw | AC Oulu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 32.4% | 22.4% |
| Market | 44.8% | 27.9% | 27.3% |
| Final | 44.9% | 29.1% | 26.1% |
| Edge | +0.4% | +4.5% | -4.9% |
Why VPS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.78.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VPS and AC Oulu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.00
VPS and AC Oulu attack and defence ratings
VPS
AC Oulu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VPS vs AC Oulu: result vs prediction
VPS 1 – 0 AC Oulu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
VPS vs AC Oulu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 44.9% | 2.23 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 44.9% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| AC Oulu | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.4% |
| No | 60.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | VPS win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.2% |
| 0-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
VPS vs AC Oulu stats
VPS and AC Oulu recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VPS and AC Oulu going into this match
VPS record
- They have won 9 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
AC Oulu record
- They have won 10 of their 22 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 22 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 22 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
VPS vs AC Oulu head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | VPS | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 5-1 |
| 2026-04-18 | AC Oulu | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-24 | VPS | AC Oulu | League Cup | 1-4 |
| 2025-10-04 | AC Oulu | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-28 | AC Oulu | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | VPS | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 4-3 |
| 2025-02-08 | VPS | AC Oulu | League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-17 | AC Oulu | VPS | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2024-06-19 | VPS | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | AC Oulu | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
VPS vs AC Oulu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 27.9%, away 27.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.32 | 3.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.32 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.16 | 3.19 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.35 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.45 | 3.35 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .