Veikkausliiga
·
Full time
·Championship Group - 24
AC Oulu
vs
Gnistan
1 – 2 Full time
| 42′ | Adam Jouhi | ||
| 47′ | Bogdan Milovanov | ||
| 58′ | Saku Ylätupa | ||
| 60′ | Saku YlätupaRoman Eremenko | ||
| 61′ | Camilo Jose·Triana FragozoLamine Ghezali | ||
| 70′ | Joakim LatonenOtto Hannula | ||
| 71′ | Lamine GhezaliElias Kallio | ||
| 71′ | Markus ArsaloJulius Paananen | ||
| 71′ | Tuomas KaukuaNiklas Jokelainen | ||
| 75′ | Julius Paananen | ||
| 77′ | Pakwo Abdoul Rachide Gnanou | ||
| 82′ | Roman Eremenko | ||
| 84′ | Otto KemppainenSami Sipola | ||
| 86′ | Artur AtarahSergey Eremenko | ||
| 90′ | Julius Paananen |
AC Oulu
36%
Draw
29%
Gnistan
35%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 410 | Accurate passes | 233 |
AC Oulu vs Gnistan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AC Oulu vs Gnistan
| Probability | AC Oulu | Draw | Gnistan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.7% | 30.7% | 47.7% |
| Market | 40.5% | 28.4% | 31.1% |
| Final | 35.8% | 29.0% | 35.2% |
| Edge | -18.9% | +2.3% | +16.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
AC Oulu and Gnistan expected goals
AC Oulu
0.82
Gnistan
1.34
Total expected goals: 2.16
AC Oulu and Gnistan attack and defence ratings
AC Oulu
Attack
0.60 -40%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Gnistan
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AC Oulu vs Gnistan: result vs prediction
AC Oulu 1 – 2 Gnistan
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Championship Group - 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
AC Oulu vs Gnistan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Oulu | 35.8% | 2.79 | -18.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Oulu | 35.8% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Gnistan | 35.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | AC Oulu win | 7.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.5% | |
| Loss | 78.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
AC Oulu vs Gnistan stats
AC Oulu and Gnistan recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AC Oulu and Gnistan going into this match
AC Oulu record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gnistan record
- They have won 10 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 23 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AC Oulu vs Gnistan head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3AC Oulu wins
1Draws
6Gnistan wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | AC Oulu | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gnistan | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 1-5 |
| 2025-08-25 | Gnistan | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-10 | AC Oulu | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 2-3 |
| 2024-09-27 | Gnistan | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Gnistan | AC Oulu | Veikkausliiga | 2-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | AC Oulu | Gnistan | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2020-10-17 | Gnistan | AC Oulu | Ykkönen | 1-2 |
| 2020-06-27 | AC Oulu | Gnistan | Ykkönen | 2-0 |
| 2017-08-19 | AC Oulu | Gnistan | Ykkönen | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AC Oulu vs Gnistan odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 27.9%, away 30.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.14 | 3.45 | 2.98 |
| 1xBet | 2.33 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Dafabet | 2.26 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.31 | 3.28 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.35 | 3.08 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 3.07 | 2.78 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Unibet | 2.12 | 3.55 | 3.15 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.30 ▲ +0.21
X
3.28 ▼ -0.27
2
3.00 ▼ -0.04
13 snapshots recorded, from .