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Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 24

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki

0 – 0 Full time

34′Akseli Puukko
45′Akseli PuukkoSaku Savolainen
63′Mads BorchersTeemu Pukki
71′Ayman AikiCalvin Kabuye
72′Liam MöllerLassi Lappalainen
84′Pyry MentuLucas Lingman
84′Julius EskesenSamuel Pasanen
84′Alexander RingJere Kallinen
84′Tommi JyryJoslyn Lutumba Luyeye
90′Martin Kirilov

Vare Areena, KuopioReferee: Joona Kontinen, Finland

KuPS 39%
Draw 28%
HJK Helsinki 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
7 Corners 4
15 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
446 Accurate passes 376

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs HJK Helsinki

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKuPSDrawHJK Helsinki
Model28.3%29.3%42.4%
Market42.0%27.2%30.8%
Final38.6%27.7%33.7%
Edge-13.7%+2.1%+11.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KuPS ↓ / HJK Helsinki → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

KuPS and HJK Helsinki expected goals

KuPS 1.09
HJK Helsinki 1.39

Total expected goals: 2.48

KuPS and HJK Helsinki attack and defence ratings

KuPS

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.89 -11%

HJK Helsinki

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki: result vs prediction

KuPS 0 – 0 HJK Helsinki

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Championship Group - 24 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KuPS 38.6% 2.59 -13.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.9% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.7% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KuPS38.6%
Draw27.7%
HJK Helsinki33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.1%
No48.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.4%
Handicap -1KuPS win11.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss71.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-110.3%
0-09.6%

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki stats

KuPS and HJK Helsinki recent form

newest first
KuPS DLWLDW
HJK Helsinki WWLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KuPS and HJK Helsinki going into this match

league record before kick-off

KuPS record

  • They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

HJK Helsinki record

  • They have won 12 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 23 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5KuPS wins 2Draws 3HJK Helsinki wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27HJK HelsinkiKuPSVeikkausliiga0-4
2026-04-26KuPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga1-1
2025-11-09HJK HelsinkiKuPSVeikkausliiga0-2
2025-10-19KuPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga3-1
2025-09-20HJK HelsinkiKuPSSuomen Cup1-0
2025-06-27KuPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga3-0
2025-05-31HJK HelsinkiKuPSVeikkausliiga0-0
2025-03-15HJK HelsinkiKuPSLeague Cup3-1
2024-10-19KuPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga1-0
2024-06-19HJK HelsinkiKuPSVeikkausliiga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KuPS vs HJK Helsinki odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 27.2%, away 30.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.24 3.40 3.06
888Sport 2.30 3.20 2.90
Bet365 2.15 3.50 2.90
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 2.90
Betano 2.20 3.55 3.00
Betfair 2.05 3.50 3.00
Dafabet 2.29 3.45 3.10
Marathonbet 2.22 3.40 3.05
Pinnacle 2.32 3.49 3.17
SBO 2.14 3.04 2.82
Unibet 2.28 3.40 2.75
William Hill 2.20 3.30 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.05
X 3.40 ▼ -0.05
2 3.00 ▲ +0.17

13 snapshots recorded, from .