VPS
vs
KuPS
0 – 2 Full time
| 29′ | Tommi Jyry | ||
| 35′ | Joslyn Lutumba Luyeye | ||
| 45′ | Paulo Lima | ||
| 56′ | Miika Niemi | ||
| 60′ | Ayman Aiki | ||
| 62′ | Ayman AikiKasim Adams | ||
| 62′ | Petteri PennanenSaikou Touray | ||
| 69′ | Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi | ||
| 70′ | Brahima MagassaTaneli Hämäläinen | ||
| 72′ | Paulo LimaAntti-Ville Raisanen | ||
| 72′ | Yassin DaoussiXavier Odhiambo | ||
| 77′ | Lassana Mané | ||
| 79′ | Simon LindholmCasper Holmelund | ||
| 79′ | Miika NiemiJoonas Vahtera | ||
| 90′ | Tommi JyrySamuel Pasanen | ||
| 90′ | Emmanuel Okereke |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 297 | Accurate passes | 317 |
VPS vs KuPS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VPS vs KuPS
| Probability | VPS | Draw | KuPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 34.9% | 26.0% |
| Market | 30.6% | 27.8% | 41.7% |
| Final | 32.7% | 29.5% | 37.8% |
| Edge | +8.6% | +7.1% | -15.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VPS and KuPS expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
VPS and KuPS attack and defence ratings
VPS
KuPS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VPS vs KuPS: result vs prediction
VPS 0 – 2 KuPS
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Championship Group - 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
VPS vs KuPS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 37.8% | 2.65 | -15.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VPS | 32.7% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| KuPS | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.6% |
| No | 63.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | KuPS win | 8.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.5% | |
| Loss | 73.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.4% |
| 1-0 | 15.3% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
VPS vs KuPS stats
VPS and KuPS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VPS and KuPS going into this match
VPS record
- They have won 10 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
KuPS record
- They have won 12 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
VPS vs KuPS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2026-06-13 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2026-06-10 | KuPS | VPS | Suomen Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-31 | KuPS | VPS | League Cup | 3-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-25 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 0-2 |
| 2025-02-01 | KuPS | VPS | League Cup | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 3-1 |
| 2024-05-22 | VPS | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 1-3 |
| 2024-05-10 | KuPS | VPS | Veikkausliiga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
VPS vs KuPS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 27.8%, away 41.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.11 | 3.32 | 2.24 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.35 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18 | 3.55 | 2.28 |
| SBO | 2.97 | 3.08 | 2.05 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .