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Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 26

KuPS vs AC Oulu

0 – 1 Full time

28′Camilo Jose·Triana Fragozo
45′Iiro MendolinJulius Paananen
58′Bob Nii Armah
60′Saku SavolainenSamuel Pasanen
60′Tommi JyryAyman Aiki
65′Tuomas Kaukua
71′Elias KallioAdramane Cassama
71′Rasmus KarjalainenRoope Riski
76′Valentin GascJulius Eskesen
76′Clinton AntwiNiilo Kujasalo
82′Camilo Jose·Triana FragozoJuuso Mäkeläinen
82′Joel lotvonenNiklas Jokelainen

Savon Sanomat Areena, KuopioReferee: Kontinen Joona

KuPS 57%
Draw 26%
AC Oulu 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
64 Possession % 36
9 Corners 3
10 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 3
2 Saves 4
469 Accurate passes 240

KuPS vs AC Oulu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs AC Oulu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKuPSDrawAC Oulu
Model47.4%34.9%17.7%
Market60.3%23.1%16.6%
Final57.0%26.1%16.9%
Edge-12.9%+11.8%+1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why KuPS

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.11 vs 0.56.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KuPS ↓ / AC Oulu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 1 20% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 51%
3+ goals 24%
No goals 20%

KuPS and AC Oulu expected goals

KuPS 1.11
AC Oulu 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.67

KuPS and AC Oulu attack and defence ratings

KuPS

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.74 -26%

AC Oulu

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KuPS vs AC Oulu: result vs prediction

KuPS 0 – 1 AC Oulu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 26 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

KuPS vs AC Oulu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 KuPS 57.0% 1.75 -12.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.5% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score No 69.9% 1.43 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.1% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.3% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KuPS57.0%
Draw26.1%
AC Oulu16.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.5%
Under 2.576.5%
Both teams to scoreYes30.1%
No69.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.1%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)43.0%
Handicap -1KuPS win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)26.9%
Loss52.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.0%
1-019.6%
1-113.0%

KuPS vs AC Oulu stats

KuPS and AC Oulu recent form

newest first
KuPS WDDLWL
AC Oulu LLLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KuPS and AC Oulu going into this match

league record before kick-off

KuPS record

  • They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.

AC Oulu record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS vs AC Oulu head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5KuPS wins 1Draws 4AC Oulu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02AC OuluKuPSVeikkausliiga2-0
2026-04-22KuPSAC OuluVeikkausliiga3-2
2026-02-28AC OuluKuPSLeague Cup5-0
2025-12-05KuPSAC OuluFriendlies Clubs1-2
2025-07-04AC OuluKuPSVeikkausliiga2-2
2025-04-12KuPSAC OuluVeikkausliiga1-0
2025-03-25KuPSAC OuluFriendlies Clubs2-0
2025-02-22KuPSAC OuluLeague Cup2-1
2024-06-28AC OuluKuPSVeikkausliiga1-0
2024-06-08KuPSAC OuluVeikkausliiga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

KuPS vs AC Oulu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 23.1%, away 16.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 4.10 5.50
Bet365 1.44 4.20 6.00
BetVictor 1.50 3.90 5.75
Betano 1.57 3.95 5.60
Betfair 1.50 3.90 5.50
Dafabet 1.57 4.20 5.80
Marathonbet 1.53 4.10 5.60
Pinnacle 1.56 4.32 6.03
SBO 1.54 3.50 4.75
William Hill 1.55 3.90 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.54 ▼ -0.03
X 4.03 ▲ +0.13
2 5.60 ▲ +0.30

15 snapshots recorded, from .