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Veikkausliiga · Full time ·Championship Group - 26

HJK Helsinki vs VPS

6 – 0 Full time

6′Teemu Pukki
17′Mads Borchers
38′Mads Borchers
38′Mamadou Wurie Jalloh
41′Paulo Lima
45′Miika NiemiJayden Turfkruier
45′Paulo LimaHenri Salomaa
45′Emmanuel OkerekeRazak Simpson
53′Mads Borchers
57′Lucas LingmanJoona Veteli
61′Leonel Montano
66′Alexander RingMartin Kirilov
66′Teemu PukkiMouhamed Gueye
67′Antti-Ville RaisanenDren terrnava
71′Alfie Cicale
78′Nikolai AlhoPyry Mentu
78′Alfie CicaleKaius Simojoki
85′Wilson SamakeCasper Holmelund
90′Simon Lindholm

Bolt Arena, HelsinkiReferee: Oliver Reitala

HJK Helsinki 57%
Draw 25%
VPS 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 1
46 Possession % 54
4 Corners 6
8 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 5
369 Accurate passes 285

HJK Helsinki vs VPS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: HJK Helsinki vs VPS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHJK HelsinkiDrawVPS
Model46.3%31.5%22.2%
Market60.8%22.5%16.7%
Final57.2%24.7%18.1%
Edge-14.5%+9.0%+5.5%

Confidence: Low

Why HJK Helsinki

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

HJK Helsinki ↓ / VPS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

HJK Helsinki and VPS expected goals

HJK Helsinki 1.28
VPS 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.09

HJK Helsinki and VPS attack and defence ratings

HJK Helsinki

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.76 -24%

VPS

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

HJK Helsinki vs VPS: result vs prediction

HJK Helsinki 6 – 0 VPS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Championship Group - 26 fixtures

Veikkausliiga

Before and after this match

HJK Helsinki vs VPS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 HJK Helsinki 57.2% 1.75 -14.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.9% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.7% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2HJK Helsinki57.2%
Draw24.7%
VPS18.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.8%
Under 2.565.2%
Both teams to scoreYes41.4%
No58.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.9%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)42.8%
Handicap -1HJK Helsinki win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss53.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.6%
1-114.1%
0-013.6%

HJK Helsinki vs VPS stats

HJK Helsinki and VPS recent form

newest first
HJK Helsinki DDWWLW
VPS LLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

HJK Helsinki and VPS going into this match

league record before kick-off

HJK Helsinki record

  • They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

VPS record

  • They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 5 penalties (40%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

HJK Helsinki vs VPS head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6HJK Helsinki wins 1Draws 3VPS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-18HJK HelsinkiVPSVeikkausliiga2-1
2026-05-22VPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga2-1
2025-07-05VPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga0-2
2025-04-26HJK HelsinkiVPSVeikkausliiga3-1
2024-09-20VPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga1-1
2024-09-01VPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga1-3
2024-05-17HJK HelsinkiVPSVeikkausliiga1-2
2023-10-08VPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga3-2
2023-04-19HJK HelsinkiVPSVeikkausliiga4-0
2023-04-15VPSHJK HelsinkiVeikkausliiga0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

HJK Helsinki vs VPS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.8%, draw 22.5%, away 16.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.54 4.25 5.40
Bet365 1.50 4.00 5.75
BetVictor 1.50 4.10 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.10 5.50
Betfair 1.47 4.00 5.00
Dafabet 1.57 4.30 5.60
Marathonbet 1.52 4.25 5.50
Pinnacle 1.55 4.49 5.85
SBO 1.51 3.69 4.68
William Hill 1.50 4.00 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.52 ▼ -0.03
X 4.10 ▲ +0.10
2 5.50 ▲ +0.30

15 snapshots recorded, from .