KuPS
vs
Shamrock Rovers
1 – 0 Full time
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers
| Probability | KuPS | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 24.3% | 27.5% |
| Market | 47.7% | 29.1% | 23.2% |
| Final | 47.8% | 27.9% | 24.3% |
| Edge | +0.5% | -4.7% | +4.2% |
Why KuPS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.40.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
KuPS and Shamrock Rovers expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
KuPS and Shamrock Rovers attack and defence ratings
KuPS
Shamrock Rovers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers: result vs prediction
KuPS 1 – 0 Shamrock Rovers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 47.8% | 2.09 | +0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | KuPS | 47.8% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Shamrock Rovers | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.9% |
| No | 35.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | KuPS win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers stats
KuPS and Shamrock Rovers recent form
| KuPS |
LDWLDD |
| Shamrock Rovers |
DLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Shamrock Rovers | KuPS | UEFA Europa Conference League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 29.1%, away 23.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.96 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.26 | 4.35 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.15 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.00 | 3.25 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.15 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.26 | 4.01 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.89 | 3.45 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.30 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .